Abstract Submissions

Grad Student Travel Grants
to UCGIS Summer Assembly 2000

Ram Alagan, Department of Geology and Geography, West Virginia University, West Virginia 26506. E-mail: ralagan@geo.wvu.edu.

GIS and Natural Resources: Exploring Social Struggles in the Knuckles Forest, Sri Lanka

Forest management is a systematic endeavor to both minimize the adverse effects caused by people on the environment, and maximize the benefits of forestlands to society. Over the past century Sri Lanka's forestlands have been reduced from 80% to 17% of land cover. The major causes of this denudation were brought about by colonization, growing demand for timber, extension of agricultural land, settlement expansion, and the growth of tourism. Several forest management agencies in Sri Lanka have adopted GIS as part of their forest management strategy. However, most have been criticized due to the imposition of top-down technical solutions on local communities. To explore these dramatic changes and the impact of GIS-based forest management strategies a case study is presented of Knuckles Forest, the second largest forest in Sri Lanka. The day-to-day struggles for survival experienced by the local communities of Knuckles Forest have contributed to the general degradation of the forest ecosystem and created tensions between local communities and government agencies as both contest forest resources. Technological solutions generated using GIS have become a critical focus of this debate. This paper examines (1) the struggle between government and local communities over Knuckles Forest, (2) evaluates the pivotal change in power relations brought about by the use of GIS in forest management and, (3) proposes alternative approaches to consensus building and integrated societal land-use management strategies for Knuckles Forest.

Key words: GIS, Knuckles Forest, social struggle

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1. Amy J. Liu*, Susanna T.Y. Tong, James A. Goodrich *student
2. Geography Department, University of Cincinnati
3. 70 Pickett's Charge, #69, Fort Thomas, KY 41075
4. Phone: 606-442-0580; Fax: 513-556-3370; E-mail: liu_amy@msn.com
5. Title: Using land use as a mitigation strategy for the water quality impacts of global warming: A scenario analysis on two watersheds in the Ohio River Basin

6. Abstract
This study uses an integrative approach to study the water quality impacts of future global climate and land use changes. In this study, changing land use types was used as a mitigation strategy to reduce the adverse impacts of global climate change on water resources. The climate scenarios were based on projections made by the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) and the United Kingdom Hadley Centre=s climate model (HadCM2). The Thornthwaite water balance model was coupled with a land use model (L-THIA) to investigate the hydrologic effects of future climate and land use changes in the Ohio River Basin. The land use model is based on the Soil Conservation Service’s curve number method. It uses the curve number, an index of land use and soil type, to calculate runoff volume and depth. The ArcView programming language, Avenue, was used to integrate the two models into a geographic information system (GIS). An output of the water balance model, daily precipitation values adjusted for potential evapotranspiration, served as one of the inputs into the land use model. Two watersheds were used in the present study: one containing the city of Cincinnati on the mainstem of the Ohio River, and one containing the city of Columbus on a tributary of the Ohio River. These cities represent two major metropolitan areas in the Ohio River Basin with different land uses experiencing different rates of population growth. The projected hypothetical land use changes were based on linear extrapolations of current population data.

Results of the analyses indicate that conversion from agricultural land use to low-density residential land use decreases the amount of surface runoff by approximately 43% in Cincinnati, and 32% in Columbus. The land use practices which generate the least amount of runoff are forest, low-density residential, and agriculture; whereas high-density residential and commercial land use types produce the highest runoff. The hydrologic soil type present was also an important factor in determining the amount of runoff and non-point source pollution. A runoff depth matrix and total nitrogen matrix were created for Cincinnati and Columbus to describe possible land use mitigation measures in response to global climate change. The differences in Cincinnati and Columbus were due to differences in geographic location, air temperature, and total runoff. The results of this study will be useful to planners and policy makers for defining the possible impacts of future global climate and land use changes on water resources.

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1. John Greenwood Cloud
2. Geography Department, University of California at Santa Barbara
3. Geography Department, University of California at Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA 93106
4. Phone 805-963-1632; Fax 805-893-7782; email: cloud9@geog.ucsb.edu
5. Hidden in Plain Sight: The Clandestine Histories of GIS

6. Future progress in Geographic Information Science will be grounded in a deeper understanding of the science's origins and early history, a subject that has been curiously ignored in extant GIS scholarship. The majority of present geographic science technologies were devised during the Second World War and the Cold War. The histories of GIS are complexly entangled with global geopolitics and the most secret technologies and programs in modern history. My dissertation research on the geographic applications of the declassified CORONA reconnaissance satellite program (1958-72) and the World Geodetic System has disclosed the complex and creative roles played by classified military and intelligence research and applications in the creation of modern GIS.

Orthodox histories of GIS have missed much because they begin somewhere in the middle of the story. Salient stages of that story include: the development of sophisticated analytical use of co-registered thematic map overlays, not as disembodied techniques but as tools inbedded in specific social structures addressed to social and environmental change; the rapid and complex postwar evolutions of analog and digital computation, particularly oriented to graphics and display; the analog to digital transition in geodata, which was grounded in the veritable revolution in geodesy that made the World Geodetic System one of the key intellectual achievements of the Cold War; the beginnings of global geo-referenced remote sensing databases and modern digital cartography in top secret reconnaissance and cartography programs; and only then the origin and evolution of large publicly acknowledged geo-databases and digital algorithmic implementation of traditional and novel cartographic processes (the locii of almost all extant GIS history); the corporatization of GIS practice; a wide variety (and varying quality) of critiques of GIS; and evolving contestation and re-construction of GIS.

My UCGIS paper will focus on the decades of GIS history BEFORE the Canadian Geographic Information System and cartographic algorithm developments at the Harvard School of Design. GIS pioneers range from the studiously ignored brilliant British planner Jaqueline Tyrwhitt through Nazi spatial theorists (including Walter Christaller) to the applications of CORONA to clandestine georeferencing of the planet. The history of GIS is deeper, much darker, and altogether more interesting than has been recognized thus far.

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1. Full name: Tarig Abdelgayoum Ali
2. Name of department and university: Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Geodetic Science, The Ohio State University
3. Mailing address:
Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering and Geodetic Science
The Ohio State University
470 Hitchcock Hall, 2070 Neil Avenue
Columbus, OH 43210-1275
4. Phone, fax, e-mail:
Tel: (614) 292-4303 "Office"
Tel: (614) 431-0238 "Home"
E-mail: ali.50@osu.edu

5. Title of poster/paper presentation: A large-scale GIS backward-tracking method for modeling contaminated sediments transport in Lake Erie Erie coastal areas

6. The abstract:
This paper presents the results of an on-going research for monitoring soil erosion and modeling contaminated sediments transport using a large-scale spatio-temporal approach. The research has made use of periodical aerial photographs to monitor terrain surface and shoreline changes and to model soil runoff and direct soil discharge from the eroded shoreline. Estimation of the amount of contaminated sediments transported in the study area and its impact is also studied here. Aerial photographs acquired by the National Geodetic Survey of NOAA and GPS ground survey data by OSU are used for photogrammetric adjustment and for extracting terrain surface model and shoreline. The soil erosion modeled here mainly caused by precipitation-based runoff and the direct soil discharge resulted from shoreline-bluff erosion. The sediment-transport model developed in this research, is obtained by adopting a backward-tracking approach that uses the measured sediment load values at the study area outlet, and the surface flow runoff model to find-out on a cell-by-cell basis the contribution of each cell in the study area to the gage station. While previous models could not be used to estimate the actual soil loss (in terms of transported sediment) or to get the actual spatial soil-loss/soil-gain relationship, our model accounts for the actual soil loss as measured at the study area gage. A phosphorus concentration model is developed using a backward-tracking approach based on the resulted surface runoff model and a parameterized cross-entities relationship model. Another phosphorus concentration model for the area is developed using the expected phosphorus concentration values associated with different land-use categories in the study area. The comparison between the two phosphorus transport models and the analysis of phosphorus loads measured at the gage station and the phosphorus models values shows that it is not always accurate to assume specific-range of expected phosphorus concentration associated with land-use categories. Moreover it is found as a result of this research that phosphorus concentration is not only a function in land uses or soil types, but is also a function in other spatial factors. One of the important results of the research besides, is the weak spatial correlation that has been found between the soil discharge and the corresponding phosphorus concentration transport by surface runoff. This testifies that, phosphorus concentration is not a factor in the soil loss function, at least for this study area. Temporal event-based climatic precipitation grids are created from the digital precipitation model PRISM and are treated as time-pounded individual layers to represent their temporal information. Using the Arc/Info weighted flow-accumulation function, the runoff model as been generated using the precipitation grids resulted from PRISM and USGS stream flow data. The significance of this research?s results is clearly depicted on the set of large-scale models developed here that we anticipate to be used as analytical tools for the assessment of water quality parameters and for modeling and predicting coastal terrain models and shoreline changes in coastal areas.

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1. Jeremy Mennis
2. Department of Geography, Pennsylvania State University
3. 302 Walker Building, University Park, PA 16802
4. Phone: (814) 865-6421, Fax: (814) 863-7943, Email: jmennis@gis.psu.edu
5. Integrating Cognitive Principles in GIS Database Representation
6. Abstract
The UCGIS has previously recognized the need for developing GIS database representations that are more closely aligned with the way that people conceptualize geographic domains (UCGIS, 1996). The research presented here addresses this research goal by describing the design, and initial efforts at implementation, of a GIS database model that is informed by the principles of geographic cognition. The objectives for this database model are three-fold: 1) to efficiently manage and integrate diverse sets of spatiotemporal observational data so that those data may be queried, visualized, and entered into statistical analyses, 2) to allow for the explicit representation of geographic entities, processes, and relationships in a manner that is intuitive and useful to the researcher, and 3) to facilitate the exploration and analysis of spatiotemporal data sets in a manner that supports cognitive processes of geographic knowledge acquisition.

The database model proposed here uses object-oriented modeling and artificial intelligence (AI) knowledge representation techniques to integrate principles of geographic cognition into GIS database representation. This database model is composed of two separate, yet interrelated parts, the Data Component and the Knowledge Component. The Data Component can be conceptualized as a multidimensional, spatiotemporally referenced 'hypercube' of observational data that is akin to the 'feature space' concept commonly cited in the analysis of remote sensing imagery. The Knowledge Component stores information about higher-level semantic 'objects,' the geographic entities or processes that are described by the data, as well as categorical hierarchies, rule-bases, and other semantic information that may be associated with the observational data. A detailed conceptual overview of the proposed database model can found in Mennis et al. (forthcoming; see an online version of this paper at www.geovista.psu.edu/publications/mennis/cogdb.html).

User interaction with the proposed database implementation will be provided through integration with the GeoVista Studio, an interactive, spatiotemporal data visualization and analysis tool set being developed at Pennsylvania State University's geographic visualization research center, the GeoVista Center (www.geovista.psu.edu). In order to evaluate the utility of the proposed database model, a case study database implementation will focus on the spatiotemporal analysis of storm events in the Susquehanna River Basin in central Pennsylvania using an approximately 1.7 gigabyte spatiotemporal meteorological data set. The database model is being developed using the object-oriented database POET, by Poet Software (San Mateo, California), running on Windows NT. The visual modeling language UML (Unified Modeling Language) is being used to specify and design the database in the Java programming language. A preliminary version of the Data Component has been implemented thus far, and current efforts focus on linking the Data Component with the GeoVista Studio as well as the design, specification, and coding of the Knowledge Component in UML and Java.

References
Mennis, J.L., Peuquet, D.J., and Qian, L., forthcoming. A conceptual framework for incorporating cognitive principles into geographic database representation. International Journal of Geographical Information Science.
UCGIS (University Consortium for Geographic Information Science), 1996. Research Priorities for Geographic Information Science. Cartography and Geographic Information Systems 23(3):115-127.

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1. Full name
Soe Win Myint
2. Name of department and university
Department of Geography and Anthropology, Louisiana State University
3. Mailing address
Dept. of Geography and Anthropology
230 Howe/Russell Geoscience Complex
Louisiana State University
Baton Rouge, LA 70803 - 4105
4. Phone, fax, e-mail
(Off.) 225 388 6132
(Lab.) 225 388 6119
(Res.) 225 334 5008
Fax: 225 388 4420
Email: swmyint@lsu.edu
5. Title of poster/paper presentation
Image texture analysis with high-resolution airborne data using wavelet transform.

Abstract
Advanced Thermal and Land Applications Sensor (ATLAS) image data at 10 m spatial resolution acquired with 15 channels (0.45 m - 12.2 m) was used for this research. The data was collected by a NASA Lear Jet flying at 16,500 feet over Baton Rouge, Louisiana, on May 11, 1998. The research is to examine the utility of innovative classification approach such as wavelet transforms in tracking urban features from high-resolution multispectral data. Traditional image classification methods, such as maximum likelihood classifiers use spectral information (pixel values) as a basis to analyze and classify remote sensing images. To extract the heterogeneous nature of urban features in high-resolution images, we need the information contained in a group of pixels instead of individual spectral values. One of the key obstacles to extracting texture information has been the lack of an adequate method to effectively characterize different scales of texture. Recent development in spatial/frequency analysis of wavelet transfor ms help to overcome this difficulty. This paper introduces the use of wavelet transform as to characterize image textures at multiple scales. The performances of wavelet transforms were measured for the classification of 8 different land cover classes derived from the ATLAS data. Different wavelet decomposition models, sample sizes, and channels, and mother bodies of the same features were experimented and examined. These 8 classes include residential-1 (single family homes with < 30% tree canopy), residential-2 (single family homes with between 30 - 60% tree canopy), residential-3 (single family homes with > 60% tree canopy), dense vegetation, commercial and offices, water bodies, bare soil prepared for agriculture, and agriculture land with crops. The channels and index selected for this study include channel 2 (0.52 - 0.60 micrometer: visible), channel 6 (0.76 - 0.93 micrometer: reflected infrared), channel 13 (9.60 - 10.2 micrometer: thermal infrared), and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) com posite image. Samples of different sizes (45x45, 23x23, and 13x13) were used in the study. Five texture samples of each size for each texture class were extracted for wavelet analysis. From the standard wavelet decomposition, it is understood that further decomposition is done using the low frequency channels. However, the most important information for texture appears in the high frequency channels (the detail sub-bands). Thus, we up-sampled the first level detail sub-images. In this study, the further decomposition is carried out in the horizontal edge and the reconstructed image of the first level three detail images plus the standard decomposition. Haar, Daubechies, and Mallat wavelets were used in this study. The geometric mean vectors of sub-images of a sample mean and entropy were used as a total feature vector of the samples. The performance of a minimum distance classifier was evaluated for texture classification. Wavelet representations for urban texture feature types were classified with very few e rrors. The reliability exhibited by texture signatures of wavelet transforms is beneficial for accomplishing high-resolution image classification.

Key words: wavelet transform, multi-resolution, entropy, texture, urban landscape, remote sensing.

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1. Full name
Giorgos Mountrakis
2. Name of department and university
Department of Spatial Information Engineering, University of Maine
3. Mailing address
Giorgos Mountrakis, 5711 Boardman Hall #348, Orono, ME, 04469, USA
4. Phone, fax, e-mail
Phone : (207) 581-2106
Fax : (207) 581-2206
Email : giorgos@spatial.maine.edu
5. Title of poster/paper presentation
"Modeling Change within an Integrated Spatio-Temporal Environment" 6. Abstract
Modern geospatial information environments are characterized by higher integration requirements, due to increased amounts and diverse types of information. Handling multi-resolution and multi-type information is a fundamental issue in representing the real world in an appropriate manner. Furthermore, an emphasis on the temporal aspect of data should be given, in order to manage the evolution of objects through time by modeling change. The need for frequent updates, and advanced query capabilities are also essential components of an efficient spatio-temporal model.

Such a model should work from the perspective that there are many possible representations of spatial phenomena stored implicitly in information resources, and that information on change lies in combinations of these representations. We arrive at information about change in spatial phenomena through multiple observations of phenomena over time. Analysis of these observations may reveal very different temporal behaviors from quite dynamic to essentially static. The types of change that may be observed include existence (phenomena appear and disappear), changes in shape, changes in location, changes in non-spatial characteristics, and combinations of them. Thus, within the model spatio-temporal change is decomposed into four potentially independent categories: existence, boundary redefinition, movement and thematic state changes. Furthermore, patterns of change built from multiple observations over time can lead to estimates or predictions of unobserved change.

A spatio-temporal gazetteer is employed to support direct spatio-temporal query and data analysis. In this process, it is important to first consider the evidence or basis for identifying change. The content of the gazetteer is built and maintained from a library of spatial information resources called the multimedia information store which can include maps, imagery, video, and text as well as other possible media. The multimedia information store is characterized as an implicit information store. Spatio-temporal queries on the resources level, based on a common spatial and time reference system, are performed, as well as a statistical analysis of the available resources and their accuracy.

The spatio-temporal gazetteer is an indexing structure over the multimedia information store and is the key mechanism for converting the implicit information contained in the multimedia information store into explicit change information. Components of the gazetteer store primitives of change that can be converted to explicit change by operations over the gazetteer subcomponents. The gazetteer consists of several sub-components. A Geographic Entity Register is used to record the identified spatio-temporal objects. The existence or not of an object over time is addressed within its content, without any further information. Three other specialized registers are used to record the three remaining components of change: the Boundary Register, the Thematic State Register, and the Movement Register. Quantitative queries on an object's change are executed at this more detailed level. At the middle level, an indexing structure is created, based on these three levels, building the Change Indexing Register. This register provides the essential multi-dimensional indexing mechanism, with flags to all the attributes that have been modified. Binary qualitative queries on the attributes, such as evidences of change at the object are performed in this register.

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1) Steven M. Manson
2) Graduate School of Geography, Clark University
3) 950 Main Street Worcester, MA 01610
4) Voice: 508 793 7336; Fax: 508 793 8881; Email: smanson@clarku.edu
5) Integrated assessment and projection of land-use/cover change in the southern Yucatán peninsular region of Mexico: Methodological aspects

6) Abstract:
1. OVERVIEW
This research introduces an “Agent-based Dynamic Spatial Simulation” (ADSS) to project short-term land-use/cover change (LUCC) scenarios in the Yucatán Peninsula, Mexico. Human-induced LUCC significantly changes biogeochemical cycles and thereby affects climate, biotic diversity, and livelihoods. This research draws on an “actor-institution-environment” conceptual framework that focuses on household decision making, socioeconomic institutions, and the biophysical environment.

2. METHODOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK
The ADSS couples an agent-based model (ABM) and generalized cellular automata (GCA). ABMs use autonomous software entities, agents, to model behavior. Here they embody the actor and institution components of the conceptual framework. Ecological models based on cellular automata suggest the use of GCA to represent the environment. The ADSS is written in the C++ language and integrated with IDRISI GIS.

In the ADSS, actors, or farming households, make production decisions based on internal resources, external variables, and GCA environmental information. These production decisions result in LUCC that feeds back on the GCA, simulating actor-environment relationships. Institutions affect actor decision making, and by extension, the environment

3. RESEARCH STAGES
3a. Data Acquisition
The ADSS draws on: 1) archival research and field interviews; 2) 210 household socioeconomic surveys; and 3) spatial data from 1970 to 1997, including aerial photography, satellite imagery, and digital maps of human and biophysical characteristics.
3b. ADSS Creation
GCA: The environment is embodied in GCA lattices representing land-use, land-cover, soils, hydrology, slope, aspect, market access, and infrastructure. GCA rules, derived from ecological literature and interviews, model environmental processes such as secondary forest succession.

ABM: Land manager cognition (represented by heuristics and genetic programs) combines socioeconomic and environmental variables to yield production decisions. Institutions modify decision making factors: land tenure, market variables, and governmental subsidies. Actor and institution characteristics are derived from surveys and archival research.

3c. Simulation and Validation
The ADSS creates Monte Carlo-based probabilistic estimates of LUCC, iterating through forty model ‘years’, as follows:
1) The ADSS updates exogenous parameters (e.g., population growth, prices).
2) Institutions modify actor resources (e.g., subsidy access).
3) The GCA updates the environment (e.g., forest succession).
4) Household actor decisions affect resources (e.g., income) and the GCA (e.g., land-use).
5) Projections are validated with recent LUCC data. Tests are based on error matrices; fractal dimension and contagion indices; multi-resolution goodness of fit; and uncertainty propagation.
4. SIGNIFICANCE
This research exemplifies how GIS is moving from ‘systems’ to a broader ‘science’ that speaks to larger research communities. The research addresses themes underexplored by LUCC modeling: 1) distinct spatiotemporal patterning; 2) uncertainty; and 3) the complexity of socioeconomic and environmental relationships. The research speaks to geographic actor-structure debates by combining micro-scale phenomena (ABM actors and GCA neighborhood functions) with those at larger scales (ABM institutions and GCA non-contiguous transition functions). The ADSS’s scale sensitivity and embodiment of a conceptual framework serves as a point of communication between GIS and its critics. Finally, the ABM-GCA coupling addresses surface/entity integration in GIS, answers the call for artificial intelligence in environmental modeling via use of genetic programming, and furthers the use of GIS for dynamic modeling.

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1. Brian Hastings King
2. Department of Geography, University of Colorado at Boulder
3. 1855 Athens Street #104, Boulder, CO 80302
4. 303-492-6854, kbrian@ucsu.colorado.edu
5. Towards a participatory GIS: PRA, counter-mapping and GIS in the developing world
**[484 words w/o reference section]**
6. This project will address the use of participatory methods and GIS in human geographic projects in the developing world. Building particularly on Harris et al. 1995, the use of participatory rural appraisal (PRA) methods provides an exciting opportunity to link GIS with broad-based social concerns. Additionally, this serves as a response to critiques that GIS is an overly positivist epistemology that ignores local knowledge. PRA is designed to incorporate local participation into planning processes, and there is a growing literature on the use of local sketch-maps to challenge state hegemony of development and conservation processes. Called counter-mapping, there is the potential to incorporate these maps into a GIS to present alternative cultural and geographic representations. In this project, I digitize counter-maps and enter them into a GIS in order to understand the practical and emancipatory potential of these alternative representations. Additionally, this project addresses the counter-mapping literature and suggests ways to connect this work with UCGIS's research priority on GIS and Society. I analyze a series of case studies in South America, Africa and Asia that utilize GIS to represent alternative geographic knowledge through a deliberative and participatory process and make suggestions for incorporating PRA methods into future GIS research.

A series of popular debates between the GIS community and a group of human geographers occurred in the 1990s over the direction of GIS and society and helped shape the UCGIS white paper on the same subject. Most notably, Sheppard (1995) and Pickles (1995) assert that a broadening of the research agenda is needed to address the ways that societal structures shape the access and use of GIS technologies, as well as to how GIS is utilized to examine social, economic and political topics. In a disappointing assessment, Da Cruz (1999) argues that this transition has not occurred, largely because of the positivist epistemological assumptions behind GIS, as well as the control exercised by certain groups with particular agendas. The assertion that GIS is divorced from alternative knowledge and local problems is an important one, however, there are a number of case studies in the developing world to suggest that research is addressing the use of GIS as a participatory technology. One goal of this project is to suggest how GIS can include local knowledge by utilizing a PRA methodology.

This investigation is part of my doctoral research, which is addressing the changing livelihoods of rural South Africans following the 1994 transition from apartheid. My doctoral research questions include: In a spatially segregated society, how are rural communities changing their livelihoods within South Africa's radically changing political economy? How is local knowledge being incorporated into the national discourse? Additionally, I am interested in the utility of participatory methods as a form of resistance, a common assumption in the counter-mapping literature. There have been some recent challenges to this assertion, and I consider how local communities within South Africa utilize GIS to redress apartheid's inequities.

References:
Da Cruz, P.R. 1999. "GIS as social technology." South African Geographical Journal 81(3): 119-125
Harris, T.M., D. Weiner, T. Warner, and R. Levin. 1995. "Pursuing social goals through participatory GIS: Redressing South Africa's historical political ecology." In Ground Truth: The social implications of geographic information systems, J. Pickles (ed.) pp. 196-222. New York: Guilford Press.
Pickles, J. 1995. "Representations in an electronic age: Geography, GIS and democracy." In Ground Truth: The social implications of geographic information systems, J. Pickles (ed.) pp. 1-30. New York: Guilford Press.
Sheppard, E. 1995. "GIS and society: Towards a research agenda." Cartography and GIS 22: 5-16.

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1. Laurie Skye Ames
2. Departments of Geography and Agricultural Engineering
University of Idaho
3. Engineering Physics 425
Moscow, ID 83844-0904
4. 208.885.7333 phone
208.885.7908 fax
lauriea@iron.mines.uidaho.edu
5. The Use of Remote Sensing To Determine Acreage of Agricultural = Burning

6. Abstract
Each year thousands of hectares are burnt in agricultural areas. Reports on the amount of hectares burnt vary widely depending upon the agency or group issuing the report. Increased awareness of air quality, this issue is a concern due to the health risk involved. Satellite imagery can be a useful tool to objectively assess the amount of hectares burnt. Similar techniques are being explored in determining the location and amount of land burnt by forest fires. These techniques use AVHRR satellite imagery and are not a fine enough resolution. Burn acreage detection on farmland requires a small pixel size. A field is typically 16.2 to 48.6 hectares. Landsat TM imagery with a pixel of 30 meters is preferred.20

Objectives
Develop a procedure and evaluate the viability of using Landsat TM imagery to determine hectares of fields burnt. If we can accurately estimate burnt hectares, we can develop a technique for agencies assessment of the impact of agricultural burning. Interested parties will have objectively derived estimates. The applications of this technique are far reaching in agriculture, forestry and for air quality issues.20

Significance
Current estimates rely on farm reports, permits and visual inspection by aircraft. As the population grows the effects on health issues increases. The EPA has been asked to evaluate stubble burning and decide on enforcement according to The Idaho Spokesman-Review, Saturday, February 26, 2000. As funding is cut it becomes a more critical issue of how to enforce and determine hectares each year. Satellite imagery help mitigate the problems of determining hectares as well as helping to cut the high cost of enforcement.

Interested agencies include the Natural Resource Conservation Service (NRCS), Department of Environmental Quality and the Department of Environment. These agencies, farm cooperatives and associations all need to have accurate information as they make informed decisions on field burning, plant rotation and management practices.

Methods
This on going study started with a Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM) image from September 18, 1999. A subset was selected. An unsupervised classification was performed. We checked our findings with NRCS records. Our preliminary analysis appears to match fairly well with NRCS records.

As we develop a technique for future agencies we will add the temporal factor. Adding an image taken prior to our scene allows us to identify fields burnt previously then tilled. A scene taken after our current image allows us to study what happens over the sixteen-day return period of the satellite. Adding a MODIS images to our data set is a possibility as its return period is quicker.

The images will be geo-registered and layers of information on soil type and landuse added. Integrating the image into ArcView gives us more analysis capabilities. This will allow agencies to have not only an operational technique, but also a visual representation for public use.

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1.Joseph P. Messina
2.Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
3.Joseph P. Messina, Department of Geography CB#3220, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3220
4.919-962-3870, 919-962-1537, messina@email.unc.edu
5.A Cellular Modeling Approach to Dynamic Systems Characterization: Deforestation and Agricultural Extensification in the Ecuadorian Amazon

[ABSTRACT at 515 words]
6. Global change research includes an extensive body of literature covering population-environment interactions focusing on the central issues of migration and demography, environmental site and situation, and socio-economic structures. However, rarely are these conditions addressed within a spatially-explicit, temporally dependent form. Quite often this is simply because neither the data nor the modeling methodologies combine well to effectively address uncertainty with spatially defined time-series data. As dynamical systems theory has advanced, the available data and the simulation tools have evolved so that it is now possible to simulate not only general change but also the spatial organization of individual landscape elements and their respective interaction. In this research, a cellular automaton model is proposed as an effective framework for the predictive modeling of landuse/landcover change (LULCC) associated with the spatial pattern and rates of deforestation and agricultural extensification in the Ecuadorian Amazon.

The research study site in the northeastern Ecuadorian Amazon, known regionally as the Northern Oriente, is significant from a social, biophysical, and geographical basis. Settlers in the Napo and Sucumbios provinces are generally poor in-migrants settling on predefined 50 hectare plots, clearing primary forest to grow subsistence crops, coffee, and later, pasture for cattle. Despite its global biodiversity and carbon sequestration significance, agricultural settlement and concurrent deforestation threaten the region. The specific site selected for modeling is an intensive study area (ISA) of approximately 200 km2 located to the northeast of the regional capital and largest central place, Lago Agrio.

Cellular automata (CA) were originally conceived by Ulam and von Neumann in the 1940s to provide a formal framework for investigating the behavior of complex, extended systems. The model presented employs user-defined rules based upon spatially-explicit probabilities derived from both biophysical and social characteristics to produce an output image of the anthropomorphized landscape. The ERDAS Imagine Spatial Modeler, an interactive visual tool, was used for model development and enhanced using the spatial model language (SML).

The primary input data for the model are landuse/landcover layers derived using Landsat Thematic Mapper data ranging temporally from 1986 through 1999 classified using a hybrid unsupervised/supervised classification scheme. Attribution was performed using the results from field work conducted in February 1999 and February/March 2000. Additional data layers include transportation, topography, and hydrography.

Model calibration was conducted through comparison of the model's output to an historical data set with respect to the key variable, agricultural extensification. The changing temporal and spatial location/process of tropical development provides insight into the activities that currently encourage land clearing. In this way, spatial patterns point to a set of factors that can explain recent changes in regional rates of landuse/landcover change and provide focused spatial constructions suitable for modeling. This work combines the historically descriptive aspects of society with remote sensing and landscape ecology towards the development of a Geographic Information Science based Northern Oriente analogue. With improved data handling, the modeling scheme presented here is extensible to a variety of tropical environments and regional contexts, making cellular automaton modeling not only a promoter of research into predictive spatial systems but more importantly an effective approach to probabilistic modeling of population-environment interactions.

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1. Asad Ullah
2. Department of Geography, University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
3. CALMIT, 113 Nebraska Hall, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE 68588-0517
4. (402) 472-7565, (402) 472-2410, asad@calmit.unl.edu
5. Title: Potentials of Geographic Information Systems and Remote Sensing for an Examination of Environmental Variability Through Analysis of Historical Spectral and Spatial Data.
6. Abstract:
This paper reports on the results of monitoring and mapping changes in the spatial extent of standing surficial water and wetland at Enders and surrounding Lakes, Brown County, Nebraska. The overall purpose of the research was to evaluate the potential of remotely sensed data and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) in providing practical, quick and cost effective solution to the problem of detecting and mapping changes in the areal extent of wetlands caused by flooding within an area of 100sq. miles around Enders Lake over a period of several years.

Among the wetlands are saturated meadows, shallow marshes, and open-water lakes. The wetlands range in size from less than one acre to two thousand acres (Wolfe, 1984). This study is very important because a reduction in the size of wetlands can be of great economic lose to the area ranchers as these wetlands, especially the wet meadows provide abundant and nutritious forage which is used as winter cattle feed. These wetlands also used as grazing sites as well as a source of water to livestock.

The data used in this study were: 1) Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) images (1986, 1991, and 1992); 2) black-and-white (B&W) aerial photographs (1939, 1954, 1961, and 1968); 3) National Aerial Photography Program, both color-infrared (CIR) and B&W photographs (1989 and 1993); and 4) National Wetland Inventory (NWI) data-sets.

Several standard, commonly used image-analysis techniques were considered. The Tasseled-Cap Transformation (TCT ) was used to identify open surficial water and wetland areas from the TM images and scanned CIR photographs. The transformed images were classified using unsupervised classification. In order to calculate areas of surficial water and wetlands, the classified image was multiplied with another raster image created by rasterizing a vector layer of polygons for each lake.

The study shows that remote sensing data with GIS can be used to successfully identify and measure variations in the extent of open surficial water and wetland areas of (even) very small lakes. The study also shows that wetlands within the study area are dynamic and change frequently. The change in open surficial water has a direct effect on the areal extent of the wetland. For example, in 1993, the areal extent of open surficial water showed a negative change for all the lakes. In the same year the areal extent of wetlands also decreased (regardless of a difference in procedures between digital classification and manual photo interpretation).

Finally, this study also shows that the extent of open surficial water has generally increased over the years (especially in bigger lakes like Enders and Willow). In other smaller lakes, the spatial extent of open water has either increased in most years or stayed the same. Wetland areas, too, either increased or remained the same in most cases. But, wetland areas around the big lakes like Moon lake and Ender lake, have decreased considerably.

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Sorin Matei
Annenberg School for Communication
University of Southern California
1443 S. Barry Ave. # 206
Los Angeles, CA 90025
Phone: 310 312 2973; Fax: 603 737 6859
email: matei@usc.edu
http://www.metamorph.org, * http://www.metamorph.org/maps.
The distortion factor: Mapping and modeling mass media influence on perception of Los Angeles urban space

Abstract
This project employs GIS modeling for explaining maps of social perceptions of the Los Angeles urban space. The goal of the project is to measure the degree of perceptual distortion in people's assessment of their urban environment, especially due to mass media consumption. The perceptual maps are based on "comfort" feelings about the Los Angeles core urban area obtained from respondents to a large scale survey. Study participants were instructed to color in black and white maps of Los Angeles county using green wherever they feel safe -- areas that are desirable and which foster a sense of good living. Areas somewhat comfortable were colored in orange. Red was used for areas where respondents felt threatened, unsafe or where they felt they did not belong. Unknown areas were colored in blue or left blank. Initial hypothesized relationships were that due to media coverage green areas were believed to be related to housing desirability and but red areas will not be related to objective fear inducing factors, such as crime. The perceptual distortion was hypothesized to be shaped by mass communication sources, especially commercial TV news. One hypothesis is that television coverage of crime and ethnic relations emphasizes the dangerousness of minority populated areas and that those respondents who are heavy users of television will display a negative bias in their spatial perception toward these areas. Individual perception maps were averaged using ArcView Spatial Analyst map algebra functions. An average map of comfort for all the respondents involved in the study was generated. The raster map was then used for assigning "comfort" values to the municipalities covered by it whose housing desirability, crime and population composition were also known. The goodness of fit between the perceptual and the socio-demographic themes was then assessed using the S-Plus spatial statistical module for Arcview 3.0. The procedures used, spatial autocorrelation and regression, allow to control for spatial non-independence of the cases analyzed (municipalities). The findings, so far, indicate that housing desirability, comfort and ethnic composition variables are autocorrelated. Also, it appears that crime is positively associated with comfort. This indicates that the Los Angeles respondents selected fort the study are more likely to find areas with relatively high levels of crime more comfortable than those with lower levels of crime. On the other hand it appears that discomfort goes with presence of increased proportion of minority population. As the project is in progress, these findings are to be considered preliminary. The next step will be to create an average map of comfort for high media consumption respondents only (media consumption = time spent with TV and using TV news for learning about community). The goodness of fit of these maps with crime, population composition and housing desirability will be again assessed in order to find out if there is a factor of distortion due to media consumption. The hypothesized relationship is that the comfort areas of high media consumers will remain negatively correlated with presence of minority populations, due to the unfair coverage of the areas by television.

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1. Rosso, Pablo H.(student); Hansen, Everett M., and Kanaskie, Alan.
2. Dept. Botany and Plant Pathology, Oregon State University
3. Dept. Botany and Plant Pathology, Oregon State University, Cordley Hall 2082, , Corvallis, OR 97331.
4. ph: (541)752-0494, fax: (541)737-3573, e-mail: rossop@bcc.orst.edu
5. TITLE: Use Of GIS To Assess The Risk Of Swiss Needle Cast Disease Of Coastal Douglas-Fir In Oregon

6. ABSTRACT:
Swiss needle cast of Douglas-fir, a fungal disease, is producing severe defoliation and growth reduction in forests and plantations along the coastal area of Oregon. Presently, planting of tree species other than Douglas-fir in highly susceptible stands seems to be the only disease management option. A GIS-based predictive model is being built in order to understand important aspects of the ecology of the disease and to determine the areas of higher disease risk. A ground-based survey of the disease (about 200 plots) was done to generate the dependent variable. GIS was used to obtain, adapt and incorporate climatic and stand history independent variables. These variables included: temperature, precipitation , fog-low cloud occurrence, past stand composition, etc. Topographic characteristics of the stands measured in situ were used to account for local-scale variability. Variables were used directly, combined or modified to represent other factors such as ambient vapor pressure deficit, solar radiation incidence, etc. After a series of exploratory analyses, variables were incorporated into a multiple regression model. Preliminary results suggest a stronger association of temperature and precipitation with the disease. Locally, the position of the stand in the slope and the slope aspect better explained the distribution of the disease. Whether or not Douglas-fir dominated the previous stand composition was also found to be correlated with low and high disease severity, respectively. Results are in accordance with recent findings about the physiology of the disease and the biology of the fungus, which demonstrates the utility of GIS on large-scale epidemiological modeling. Swiss needle cast disease of Douglas-fir has been expanding and intensifying in severity since the first stands showing symptoms called the attention of forest managers about 15 years ago. The causes of this out-brake are not clear, considering that its causal agent, the fungus Phaeocryptopus gaeumaniae, has been always present in Douglas-fir forests and plantations. Results of the research presented here suggest that the cause could be found in environmental changes or in the effect of relatively recent forest practices. This model also provides an insight on the influence of the environment on the disease, which can guide not only the decision-making process of forest managers, but also future research on microclimatology of the disease and biology of the causal agent. The final model will be transferred to a GIS environment to automatically produce disease risk maps.

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1. Ruihong Huang
2. Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
3. 3553 N Oakland Ave #210
Milwaukee, WI 53211
4. 414-229 5818, ruihong@csd.uwm.edu
5. Titles of poster/paper presentation
(1) Trip Planner for Transit Information System (completed)
(2) Real-time Bus Information System (completed)

6. Abstracts
(1) Trip Planner for Transit Information System
(URL: http://gis.sarup.uwm.edu/ruihong/)

This is a pilot project of Milwaukee Transit Information System sponsored by Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development and the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Center for Transportation Education and Development. The goal of the project is to develop an on-line transit information system to provide information on transit routing, schedules and automatic trip itinerary.

Trip planning for transit system is more complicated than the usual routing for the shortest path. First, traveling in a transit system is controlled by schedule instead of just speed and distance, therefore, the fastest route, which depends on trip date and start time, is not unique; Second, in the bus route network, one street may have more than one bus routes, then, should we use bus routes or the street center-lines to create network? Moreover, considering waiting time in trips in a transit system is even challenging, because the waiting time is extremely dynamic.

The application was programmed in Visual Basic 6.0 with MapObjects 2.0, Netengine 1.1 and MapObjects IMS 2.0. Like other network analysis software, NetEngine is not designed particularly for schedule controlled and overlaping multi-route transit systems. For the overlaping multiple-route problem, the project designed a particular database structure that one arc in the network may contain more than one bus route, therefore, the street map was used to create bus route network. For the waiting time problem, the project designed a probability model in computing the possible waiting time at each transfer point towards a particular direction for different time periodes based on schedule and weekdays. This possible waiting time can be taken as a turn weight at the junction on a transit network. The turn weights update according to the trip date and hour. Therefore, the fastest route can be solved by NetEngine.

The application has been serving on the web since September 1999 and runs smoothly. Considering the complexity of transit network and currently available software packges, this method is effective and efficient in providing advanced transit services.

(2) Real-time Bus Information
(URL: http://gis.sarup.uwm.edu/ruihong/)

This is an tentative application trying to provide real-time bus location information as well as other bus related information through the internet. The server captures and serves bus location information every 6 seconds, and web browsers are set to update automatically at interval of about 30 seconds. The application provides schedule and street information query, map zoom and pan, and automatic street labeling when the map is zoomed to certain scale. Because real-time GPS data is not available currently, a simulate database is used to control bus movements.

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1. Name: Austin Troy
2. Department and University: Environmental Science, Policy and Management Department, U.C. Berkeley
3. Mailing Address: 525 Alcatraz Ave #3 Oakland, CA 94609
4. Phone: 510-652-0631, fax: 510-642-7553,
email:austint@nature.berkeley.edu
5. Paper Presentation Title: "Assessing the effects of natural hazard disclosure on property markets using a spatial hedonic analysis"

ABSTRACT:
In 1998 California passed a law requiring property sellers to inform potential buyers of several types of natural hazard that may affect the property. Theory predicts that such a law should result in the capitalization of some of the costs associated with natural hazards into the selling price of a property. This study analyzes the extent to which disclosure requirements have affected market prices of vacant and developed properties in regulatory flood and wildfire zones. Furthermore, it looks at how those effects vary based on market and demographic characteristics.

Among other methods, this study utilizes a spatially oriented hedonic analysis to answer these questions. In hedonic analysis, observed sales prices are regressed against quantifiable property attributes. The components of the sales price can then be disaggregated and an index of implicit marginal prices can be developed. In this case, vectors of structural, locational and neighborhood attributes are included as independent variables, along with a dummy variable for presence in or out of a designated hazard zone.

While Geographic Information Systems (GIS) have previously been used in conducting hedonic analyses, this study is unique in several ways. First, it is one of the largest scale hedonic studies ever done. It is intended to yield conclusions at the state level, but the state's size and its extreme diversity make this extremely challenging. In order to isolate significant trends across the numerous cross sections of the state, a complex and innovative multi-stage spatial cluster sampling methodology was developed--a methodology that could prove useful in future large- scale social science statistical studies. Using GIS and statistical tools, cross sections of California's nearly 2000 zip codes were created, based on several criteria. These cross sections served as the basis of a stratified random sample of zip codes. Then, individual property transaction data were purchased for each of those sampled zip codes, address geocoded and overlaid with hazard layers. For the second sampling tier, a random sample of recently transacted households was taken, stratified by presence in or out of the hazard zone. The sampling rates of both tiers were used as regression weights.

The second reason why the study is unique is its intensive paramaterization of locational attributes as explanatory (main effects and control) variables. In addition to assigning each household presence in or out of multiple hazard zones, each household was assigned values for distance to nearest school, hospital, municipal park, open space preserve, shopping center, golf course, industrial facility, hazardous waste site and cultural facility. Tools assigning both straight-line distance and road distance were experimented with for this purpose. Additionally, an innovative index was developed quantifying a household's access to business districts and employment opportunities.

To date, most of the regressions have been run. Results indicate that prior to the law's passage there was only a modest differential between the sales prices of comparable properties in and out of the flood zone, while after the law's passage, this differential became much more pronounced. Further results are pending.

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1. Mark Wegener
2. Environmental Monitoring Department,
Institute for Environmental Studies,
University of Wisconsin-Madison
3. 2802 Arbor Dr. #2
Madison, WI
53711
4. Phone: 608-233-1013
e-mail: wegener@students.wisc.edu
5. Historical Land Use/Land Cover Change in the North Temperate Lakes LTER Research Site

6. Abstract:
The Long Term Ecological Research (LTER) Network is a collaborative effort aimed at facilitating ecological research over longer temporal scales and larger spatial scales than those normally addressed in ecological studies. Within LTER, the North Temperate Lakes (NTL) site is comprised of two distinct research sites: the Trout Lake and Madison Lakes Sites. The Trout Lake Site is located in Vilas County, in north-central Wisconsin. It is composed of seven core lakes located within a glacial landscape characterized by abundant forest cover, wetlands and lakes. The Madison Lakes Site in south-central Wisconsin is composed of four core lakes characterized by agricultural and, increasingly, urban land uses.

The Land Use/Land Cover Change component of the NTL-LTER project is aimed at examining the interactions between lakes, their landscapes, and humans over the 20th century in our two study sites by asking the following question:

"How have human uses of the lakes and the landscape affected lake ecosystems? In particular, how have changes in land use and land cover impacted lakes?"

To address this question, we are reconstructing historical land use/land cover in selected sub-watersheds of the two NTL-LTER sites. To this end, we are producing high-resolution digital orthophotos using a unique softcopy photogrammetric solution. Land use/land cover is then interpreted within a GIS environment based on ortho-rectified aerial photography dating back to 1937 (the year of the first statewide aerial survey). Interpretation is performed at two different scales, characterized by the size of their minimum mapping unit: 160 m2 for watersheds, and 40 m2 within 30m riparian zones. A set of 20 mixed land use/land cover classes is employed with land-water interactions in mind.

Many of the project's impacts may stem specifically from the unique methodology employed. By developing and utilizing an in-house softcopy photogrammetric solution for producing historical orthophotos, we were able to create a low-cost and highly accurate GIS database of historical land use/land cover change for the research sites. The methods employed to perform this task could serve as a model for other entities interested in asking geospatial questions about a given landscape over a broad temporal scale.

Additional impacts will arise from specific uses of the GIS land use/land cover database itself. Upon its completion, we will correlate historical changes in land use/land cover with changes in lake chemistry over time. In addition, the database will be utilized to create a landscape-level model to capture the nature of the observed landscape changes over time. It is hoped that this model could be used to project future land use/land cover changes within the study sites under alternative planning scenarios.

To date, we have finished creating the historical orthophotos and the GIS land use/land cover database for the Madison Lakes region, and we are in the process of performing preliminary analyses the impacts of these landscape changes on the area lakes using historical limnological data, and examining landscape-level modeling methodologies for their utility in modeling the long-term landscape change within the region.

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1- Full Name: Tarek M. G. E. Rashed
2- Affiliation : doctoral student at SDSU/UCSB joint program -
Department of Geography, San Diego State University (SDSU).
3- Mailing Address: 5330 Adobe Falls Road, Apt. C., San Diego, CA 92120
4- Phone: 619 265 8541, fax: 619 594 4938, email: trashed@mail.sdsu.edu
5- Title: Assessing Human Vulnerability to Natural Hazards in the Urban Environment: a Remote Sensing and GIS Methodology=20

6- Abstract:(500 words)
The proposed research will develop a methodological framework for modeling human/hazards interaction in urban environments based on remote sensing, GIS and spatial analysis techniques. Emphasis is placed on providing an integrated understanding of variations in human vulnerability to natural hazards by linking socio-economic characteristics, geophysical processes and urban dynamics into a spatially explicit model of urban areas. The research plan consists of four interrelated tasks. Task One develops the theoretical and technical infrastructure needed for understating the interrelationships between various systems that influence human vulnerability in the contemporary realm of American cities on the local level. Task Two demonstrates and tests the validity of remote sensing imagery in compensating for disadvantages associated with census data. I examine applications of spectral mixture analysis (SMA) technique to AVIRIS data in order to extract a number of dependent variables which can be statistically analyzed to add timely and otherwise unobtainable information about human characteristics associated with urban vulnerability. Task Three focuses on assessing vulnerability levels in selected urban areas in Southern California by coupling remotely sensed surrogates with other ancillary data and vulnerability assessment rules in a GIS environment. Techniques include multi-criteria decision analysis, correlation analysis, and local spatial statistics and regression analysis. Task Four demonstrates and tests the validity of this approach by implementing and evaluating a spatial decision support system (SDSS) for policy makers in order to assess vulnerability and explore the links between various components of the urban system. This task will adopt 'OpenGIS Specification' as the modeling technique, taking into account the needs of the disaster management community as indicated by OGC Disaster Specialty Group. In addition, I propose the use the Cooperative Requirements Capture (CRC) approach in order to translate the technology for assessing vulnerability into procedures for easy use by local governments, taking into account the full spectrum of the stakeholders of the proposed system.

The broader contributions of the research are theoretical and empirical. From a theoretical perspective, the research will contribute to emerging currents in natural hazard research calling for a broader environmental approach to understand human/hazards interaction. Specifically, I will seek to provide a sufficient understanding of how socio-economic differences are connected to variations in physical and natural settings of the urban environment, and how such connections might decrease or increase the risks from natural hazards. From an empirical viewpoint, the approach will take advantage of the contiguous spectral channels, and high spectral and spatial resolutions of AVIRIS data BE taking them beyond their current use in applied sciences, towards applications that address concerns of social science. By generating new remotely sensed measures for human vulnerability, this research can enhance the impacts of remotely sensed data, and provide a basis for assessing data requirements for future sensors involved in population monitoring. In addition, this work will contribute to hazard mitigation efforts by providing a set of specifications (data dictionary and process details) that could be the basis of establishing interoperable database design and operational GIS modules for urban vulnerability assessment and sustainable hazard mitigation.

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1. Deana D. Pennington
2. Department of Geosciences, Oregon State University
3. 318 11th Ave. SW, Albany, OR 97321
4. (541) 812-0221, penningtond@geo.orst.edu
5. Knowledge-based approach to spatial analysis of forest landscape dynamics

6. Abstract. Spatiotemporal change of forested landscapes is the result of vegetation succession, interrupted by anthropogenic and/or natural disturbance. Comparison of dynamic landscape patterns produced by varying disturbance processes is of interest, since a divergence in landscape structure may have important consequences for ecosystem processes. In the Pacific Northwest, most natural forest disturbance has historically been the result of wildfire; most anthropogenic disturbance is the result of timber harvest. The objective of this study is to develop knowledge-based methods for spatiotemporal modeling of landscape patterns produced by fire and timber harvest, creation of datasets that highlight structural differences between resultant landscape patterns, and analysis of the effects of varying patterns through time on selected ecosystem processes. Spatial patterns of wildfire disturbance depend of fuel accumulation and moisture, and may be stratified into several fire regimes with specific characteristics, the distribution of which are related to elevation and topography. Boundaries between regimes shift spatially through time in response to climatic change. Spatial patterns of timber harvest may also be stratified as regimes, controlled by land management objectives, which differ by owner and by land use. Unlike fire regimes, however, the boundaries between regimes have been stagnant through time, while characteristics of a given harvest regime have changed through time in response to changing policies and socioeconomics. The challenge is to create a knowledge based system that will model both fire and harvest disturbance regimes, one of which changes boundaries through time and the other of which changes characteristics through time, with multiple parameter sets applied spatially. To accomplish this, boundaries and characteristics of each regime must be quantified and entered into a database coupled to the GIS via macro. An analysis of regime boundaries and characteristics is currently being conducted, and has revealed interesting spatial scaling effects related to pattern size and variability. A new approach is being developed for the analysis of forest edge, which forms a boundary network, with relevant flow direction transverse to network segments rather than along network segments. It is anticipated that regime characterization will be complete by the summer assembly, along with much of the conceptual basis of the knowledge-based system, possibly with initial results from simulations. Modelled landscape change under different disturbance scenarios will be analyzed for the trajectories and rates of change of relevant properties through time. An analysis of landscape differences that impact biodiversity, hydrology and carbon sequestration will be conducted, including sensitivity of differences to temporal scale of analysis. Novel methods of visualizing landscape differences will be explored. It is anticipated that analysis of the historical response of wildfire-produced landscape pattern to climatic change, and the historical response of harvest-produced landscape pattern to policy change, will inform analysis of the potential consequences of anticipated co-mingling of climatic and policy change.

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1. Rob Porter
2. Department of Recreation and Leisure Studies, University of Georgia
3. University of Georgia
Department of Recreation and Leisure Studies
300 River Road
Athens, GA 30602-6555
4. (706) 542-6551, Fax: (706) 542-7917, rporter@coe.uga.edu
5. Using GIS to Examine Federal Tourism Sites in an Environmental Justice Context

6. Abstract:
Purpose and Objectives
This study examines environmental justice using the context of outdoor recreation based tourism through the application of geographic information systems (GIS). It examines the following two objectives:
1.To describe, for Southern Appalachia, five socioeconomic characteristics--median household income, race, education, heritage, occupa= tion--of CBG=92s contained within 1500 meters of each of six types of feder= al tourism sites.
2.To identify the relationship between CBG=92s within a 1500-meter radiu= s of federal tourism lands and facilities (e.g., campgrounds, wilderness areas, National Forests etc.) and those outside this radius to determine whether any environmental injustice exists in the siting of these federal areas.

Methods
Data were spatially defined and displayed (all CBG=92s and a selected group of federal tourism sites) in ArcView. Then, CBG's within 1500 meters of each federal tourism site were identified (n=3D5487). This was done using the theme-on-theme function in ArcView. 1500 meters was chosen as the proximity criterion to be consistent with recent environmental justice studies which have used GIS techniques and one mile distances to select and/ or compare population characteristics across geographic regions.

Once the relevant census block groups were selected, they were analyzed using logistical regression in SPSS version 6.1 (Norusis, 1994). In this analysis, the dependent variable was set to equal 1 if a CBG was within 1500 meters of an outdoor recreation site (e.g., campground, wilderness area etc) and equal to 0 for those CBGs where no sites were located. The independent variables were percent nonwhite, percent white-collar occupation, percent local, percent college educated, and household income in dollars. A significance level of p=3D.05 was used for all statistical tests.

Descriptive Results
The sample was comprised of mostly whites (mean =3D 91.0%, S.D. 18.0), local heritage (mean =3D 81.2%, S.D. =3D 13.1), and non-college graduates (mean =3D 66.4%, S.D. =3D 18.3). The mean household income was almost $25,000 (S.D. =3D 9,704) and slightly more than half of the sample was made-up of blue-collar workers (mean =3D 53.9%, S.D. =3D 17.4).

Model Results
Race was found to be a factor in the spatial distribution of the recreation sites (r=3D0.09 to 0.15); the CBG=92s surrounding the selected sites had a higher percentage of whites than did those outside the 1 mile perimeter. Percentage white collar was negatively correlated to a number of types of outdoor recreation sites (r=3D-0.10 to -0.12). Negative correlation attributed to income was also observed with respect to campsites (r=3D-0.10), National Forests (r=3D-0.06) and National= Recreation Areas (NRA) (r=3D-0.07). The recreation areas indicating the= most correlation were the National Forests, which demonstrated positive correlation with percentage local, white and college (r=3D0.03 to 0.14).

Conclusions tend toward the idea that tourism, while providing a positive impact on the local economy in terms of revenue, may not provide positive benefits for people in terms of job quality and personal income. Also, the occurrence of a predominantly white population closer to federal tourism sites may indicate that some inequality exists based on the location of these sites away from non-white populations.

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1. Roberta M. Robles
2. Resource Assistance for Rural Environments (R.A.R.E.) administered through the University of Oregon Community Service Center in the Department of Planning, Policy and Public Management.
3. 411 Madison St. The Dalles OR 97058.
4. (541)298-1089 (541) 298-3551 fax rrobles@darkwing.uoregon.edu
5. Title: Making GIS Happen in Rural Oregon!

I. Objective:
The Wasco County GIS Department was started two years ago with funding for a full time GIS Coordinator and taxlot base layer. The ultimate goal of the GIS Department is to provide services efficiently to various local agencies and obtain economic self sufficiency. To obtain this goal a partnership has been established to share in the costs. The role I play as an intern is to deliver specialized GIS products and services to these partners, recruit more partners, and help with maintenance of the data library. After one year I hope to help establish a fully functioning and sufficient GIS Department that serves the needs of Wasco County and North Central Rural Oregon.

II. Current Resources:
*The Wasco County GIS currently has a partnership consisting of private and public sector organizations. Current Partners include Mid Columbia Fire and Rescue, USDA, Oregon State Fish and Wildlife, University of Oregon, Northwest Aluminum Corporation, and Various County Departments.

*Current Software used - ArcView, ArcInfo, AutoCad, MS Access and possibly MapObjects

*Full time GIS Coordinator

*Data Layers - Tax lot coverage developed from DOR data, Digital Ortho-Photos, Various Administrative Boundaries, and various other coverages collected from many sources.

III. Projects:
Technical assistance will be provided to the partners through various GIS projects as needed and described; creation of a set of map books used in emergency vehicles, weather and fluoride tracking for orchards in real time provided on the web, county roads classification digitally tied to state and federal data, network maintenance, integration of 911 data with county data, and development of county wide intranet to disperse data to county employees. To effectively use this data specialized dialog boxes and easy user-interface applications will be developed and training provided. In addition, specialized maps and data analysis provided for the Planning and Economic Department as needs arise.

Current accomplishments include ready to publish map books for emergency vehicles including large maps to be place in the fire station, updated road coverage with current features and attributes, procedure identified in which to link to federal and state data to the road coverage, update planning maps and data analysis provided for the comprehensive plan, land use planning maps and spatial analysis provided, a simple web site, and administrative boundaries established for school, election and postal districts. At the end of my internship I hope to have most repetitive tasks automated and most projects promised to the GIS Partners completed.

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1. Andrea D. Turner
2. Department of Urban Studies and Planning, Virginia Commonwealth University
3. 7345 Longview Drive, Richmond, VA 23225
4. home: 804 323-1109 office: 804 828-2489 fax: 804 828-6681 email:
s2adturn@titan.vcu.edu
5. Spatio-Temporal Changes in Historic Richmond Based on Feature Similarity Assessments

6. This study in progress proposes to development of a methodology for assessing spatial and semantic similarities for geographic features over time. The purpose of this project is to assess spatio-temporal changes in the historic district of downtown Richmond and the James River by analyzing the similarities of dynamic and static features over time. By analysis of historic maps and database information, similarity and changes over time may be calculated using historical information for the specified research time period, implementing existing and modified similarity models including Sketcho v. 1.1 by Andreas Blaser and Similarity PPC by Andrea Rodriquez. Datasets will be will be constructed following the Spatial Data Transfer Standard for feature type definition and every attempt will be made to incorporate the proposed ISO standard for temporal schema. Use of Extensible Markup Language (XML) will further enhance transferability and compatibility of data produced by this project. Historical maps and documentation will be used to construct a research timeline and provide key reference points for similarity assessment. Advances in spatio-temporal similarity assessment will enhance our ability to model dynamic processes within geographic information systems.

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1. Mr. Brendan Richard Belby
2. Department of Geography, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
3. Department of Geography
220 Davenport Hall
GMS Laboratory
607 South Matthews Avenue =20
Urbana, IL 61801
4. phone (217) 333-4735 fax (217) 244-1785 e-mail belby@uiuc.edu
5. GIS Modeling of Soil Loss to Enhance Watershed Management Strategies

6. Abstract
Statement of Objectives

The objective of this research is to use GIS modeling to investigate spatial patterns of soil loss for various land use alternatives so that local watershed associations may adopt effective conservation strategies that are scientifically informed. This research is being conducted as part of the Pilot Watershed Program through the State of Illinois, which involves the interaction of multiple natural resource agencies with the purpose of supporting community efforts at sustainable land use management of their watersheds. Although soil loss from agricultural fields has been greatly reduced in recent years, sedimentation in rivers and streams is a continuing problem in Illinois. With the aid of computational modeling, the study seeks to better understand the interaction between overland and stream processes in a watershed that is defined by complex terrain and diverse land uses.

Methodology

USGS 7.5 minute Digital Elevation Models and Landsat satellite imagery serve as the base data for distributed hydrologic and erosion models that can analyze soil loss at site-specific locations throughout the watershed. Two different methods are being utilized. The first is the Modified 3D USLE with a new Length Slope factor based on upslope area and flow convergence. This method is beneficial for quickly identifying hot spots of erosion and assumes that water has an unlimited capacity to transport sediment, and therefore, does not account for deposition. A more powerful method is the USPED (Unit stream power based model) that applies a transport capacity to water within the watershed, and if this value is exceeded, deposition will occur. It is useful for predicting if eroded material will reach the stream. Using GIS tools such as map-algebra and buffer zones, various conservation strategies are designed and their impact is simulated to evaluate the most effective methods of reducing overland soil loss and stream sedimentation.

Implications and Results

The Department of Natural Resources in Illinois has over $500,000,000 to invest in the Conservation Reserve Program (CREP). This program creates buffers alongside streams by leasing agricultural land from private landowners and taking it out of production. Our research will advance knowledge by evaluating whether the buffers created by CREP are the most efficient and effective management practices. Preliminary results indicate that riparian buffers do not eliminate erosion at the source; they merely prohibit sediment from entering into the streams. Highest areas of erosion predicted by the models are located between the upland areas and the stream buffers. This information will be provided to local watershed associations so they can improve their watershed plans and Best Management Practice (BMP) approaches.

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1. Rakesh Malhotra
2. Department of Geography, University of Georgia
3. 204 GGS Building
Department of Geography,
University of Georgia
Athens, GA 30602
4. (706)-542-2856 Fax (706)-542-2388
5. Deer-car accidents - A GIS Analysis

6. Deer-vehicle collisions are a common occurrence on highways of Eastern United States. Although they occur year round, such collisions are particularly frequent during the fall deer rutting season. This study uses aerial photographs and GIS to analyze deer-vehicle collisions at the Savannah River Site (SRS), South Carolina. Being a restricted area, SRS personnel have collected accurate data on deer collisions that occurred from 1991 to 1999.

Collisions were separated based on season to control for seasonal variability in deer behavior and collisions occurring in fall were selected for this analysis. Buffers of 250m, 500m and 1000m, were created around collision points and information on vegetation, topography, presence of water bodies, and road conditions were derived from 1:16,000 true-color and color infrared aerial photographs taken during the same time. These characteristics were then statistically compared to control values obtained for similar buffers around random points along roads. The analysis of data for three buffer zones provides us with information on the resolution of influencing factors, i.e., which factors influence deer-vehicle collisions, and at what distance from the collision does their influence wane.

Results are then used to create a spatial model to identify conditions conducive to deer-vehicle collisions. The spatial model is then used to predict sites of high, medium, low potential for future deer-vehicle collisions. It is hoped that by understanding spatial factors related to deer-vehicle collisions, management practices can be implemented to reduce such incidents by altering the conditions around areas with high potential for collisions.

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1. Shane J. Cherry
2. Geography Department, University of Idaho
3. 1123 S. Harrison #7, Moscow, ID 83843
4. (208)892-2168, cher9518@uidaho.edu
5. Improved Risk Rating of Bark Beetle Infestations Using GIS and Remote Sensing Integration

6. Abstract
Bark beetles are among the the most destructive of all forest insects. North American timber losses due to bark beetles are estimated at more than 2 billion board feet per year. Large-scale outbreaks affect the forest ecosystems by deteriorating watershed quality and wildlife composition, reducing recreational value, and creating an accumulation of dead wood, which provides a major fuel source for subsequent wildfires. Forest pest infestation risk analysis research is one of many appropriate GIS and remote sensing integration applications related to forest health issues. The multiple number of environmental factors that affect the initiation and distribution of bark beetle infestations warrant the use of an integrated analysis approach. Remotely sensed data provides a relatively quick and cost efficient method of data collection and evaluation while GIS provides a means for storage, processing, retrieval, analysis, and display of data.

This project will utilize the benefits of combining these two technologies to develop a dynamic bark beetle risk analysis tool. This risk-rating tool would relate categories of stand characteristics to general patterns of stand types within designated risk classes. This would provide information that forest managers would find useful in identifying and ranking locations or stands where increased surveillance could greatly improve the managers ability to make pest management decisions that are biologically and economically sound. In order to accomplish these objectives, a number of data sets are needed as input into the system. Some of these basic data sets include: 1) vegetation cover, which represents the presence of suitable host type for the insect, 2) forest stand conditions, which include stand composition, age, stress, and density, and 3) estimates of current beetle population activity, which are derived from U.S. Forest Service aerial sketch maps and the collection of ground data. The data in the first two categories will be obtained through the processing and analysis of Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper remotely sensed imagery using previously developed methodologies to derive the needed information. These data layers will then be combined into a GIS model in order that spatial comparison can be easily performed resulting in appropriate risk classes.

The above mentioned process provides a static risk model with equal weights being placed on each risk parameter. However, the actual risk of an infestation occurrence is determined by the dynamic relationship between changing forest conditions and fluctuating insect populations. For this reason a Multi Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) model will be used to weight the multiple parameters to determine unique risk values for stands relative to changing forest conditions and insect populations. This approach will allow for a dynamic risk analysis tool in which different weights could be given to the parameters as they increase or decrease in relative importance for a given time period. This project will yield a powerful decision support tool for forest managers that will save time and money when compared to traditional forest pest monitoring.

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1. Name: Nadine Alameh
2. Department, University: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, MIT
3. Address: 540 Memorial Drive Apt 1510, Cambridge MA 02139
4. Phone,fax,email: 617- 577 5843, no fax, nadinesa@mit.edu
5. Title: Scalable and Extensible Infrastructures for Distributing Interoperable GeoServices on the Internet

6. Abstract:
The need for distributing interoperable GIS services in support of thin client computing is on the rise. A carefully-architectured infrastructure supporting these services facilitates the design and deployment of a wider range of applications that use GIS technologies. Indeed, the availability of such independent functional services allows for a smoother integration of GIS with other IT systems. It also provides a practical way for emerging mobile handheld devices to expand their functionalities to include location-related services.

The goal of this research is to create a framework for building a scalable and extensible infrastructure that can support a growing Internet-based network of distributed interoperable GIS services. Candidate infrastructures are identified by their basic elements (including services, catalogs, mediators, etc.), their roles in the network and the level of complexity pertaining to the interaction among these elements. The issues emphasized include the dynamic chaining of services, the middle-ware requirements, and the back- tracing of the origin of data and services used in a transaction.

In its attempt to find a long-lasting value framework for the infrastructure, this work is based on the architectural choices implied by the general IT work in the areas of Internet technology standards, distributed computing and multi-database systems. The issues, trade-offs and implications involved will help identify a practical pathway towards the GIS infrastructure of the future, which will fundamentally alter the way geographic information and geo-processing are defined and used. These findings will be timely given today's increasing interest in such an Internet-based infrastructure.

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1. Elizabeth Suzanne McDonald
2. Department of Geography, Michigan State University
3. 211 East Owen, East Lansing, MI 48825
4. (517) 355-4040, mcdona79@pilot.msu.edu
5. LANDSAT Pathfinder/Humid Tropical Forest Inventory Project

6. ABSTRACT:
The Basic Science and Remote Sensing Initiative (BSRSI) is a global change research program who's goal is to develop an interdisciplinary approach to understanding global change through the integration of both physical and social sciences. Our aim is to understand the inter-annual variability in land use and cover change and how such variability affects the global carbon cycle, greenhouse emissions, and global climate change. Remote sensing and GIS are important research tools in the analysis of such complex problems.

An ongoing research project called the LANDSAT Pathfinder/Humid Tropical Forest Inventory focuses on monitoring land use and land cover change in the world's humid tropics from the 1970s to the present. It involves acquisition and analysis of LANDSAT satellite images to produce digital maps of the rate and geography of deforestation.

Deforestation in the tropical forests have raised global alarm because not only are we losing beautiful areas, but many species have been wiped out and th global climate has been altered. The rate of deforestation is difficult to determine and has been the focus of NASA-funded scientists for years. As one of the lead institutions of the NASA LANDSAT Pathfinder Project, BSRSI has one of the largest LANDSAT archives, excluding the federal govenment, with approximately 3000 scenes.

Michigan State University was selected to archive and distribute high resolution satellite data for tropical biomes of the world. The Pathfinder approach first involves acquiring the LANDSAT digital data set from the EROS Data Center archive. The digital data is then analyzed to create a digital map database in a GIS of the rate and extent of deforestation. The Pathfinder project uses ARC/INFO, a vector-based GIS, for spatial data analysis. The spectral information from the satellite image is combined into different classes which include areas of forest, deforested areas, forest regrowth, water, cloud, cloud shadow, and non-forest vegetation.

Data resulting from the digital classification polygon is then plotted on clear vellum at 1:250,000 scale and compared with the 1:250,000 scale color composite prints. Digitizers check the label on each and every polygon for accuracy, make any necessary changes, and add any missing polygons. The accepted final coverages are edge-matched together, scene by scene, to build regional level coverages. Other projects use these regional level coverages to spatially analyze and calculate areas of deforestation.

The LANDSAT Pathfinder/Humid Tropical Forest Inventory Project deals with the Monitoring Land Use and Land Cover Change theme of the research at BSRSI. This theme serves as the empirical basis for analysis of the Effects and Causes of Land Use and Land Cover Change Themes at BSRSI.

The LANDSAT data archive for many scenes in South East Asia and the Brazilian "Legal" Amazon can be accessed on-line at the BSRSI webpage with a Web-GIS interface or a Web-HTML interface. Users can view the images and order the LANDSAT data. At the present time, all the satellite data from the 1970s, 1980s, 1992, and 1996 have been processed and digitized. BSRSI has recently begun to work on the 1999 images.

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1. Christopher W. Solek
2. Biological Sciences Department, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona
3. 3828 Latrobe Street, Los Angeles, CA 90031-1446
4. Phone: (323) 23-4017, FAX: (323) 223-1983, E-mail:
cwsolek@csupomona.edu
5. Territorial Dynamics and Spatial Utilization of a Fragmented Habitat by Coastal Cactus Wrens (Campylorhynchus brunneicapillus)

6. Coastal Cactus Wrens (Campylorhynchus brunneicapillus), restricted to the Pacific slope of southern California and northern Baja California, represent a disjunct population of a widely distributed and relatively common desert-inhabiting species found throughout the U.S. desert southwest, Baja California and portions of mainland Mexico. Coastal populations are unique in that they are obligate inhabitants of Coastal Sage Scrub, a vegetation community confined to the mediterranean-climate zone in North America. Ecological information on these populations is limited. Coastal populations of the Cactus Wren have been severely impacted by development throughout southern California, habitat loss, degradation, and fragmentation being the major issues affecting the viability of these populations.

This study focuses on a discrete coastal population in eastern Los Angeles County, California and investigates the role of habitat in shaping territorial dynamics and behavior. I intend to investigate how territory size is correlated with both Cactus Wren behavior and various vegetation and landscape characteristics. I am also interested in describing inter-territory variation in regards to territory morphology (i.e. size shape, and placement) and the vegetation characteristics within territories, describing how territorial configurations change over the course a year, and determining whether some territories are preferable to others due to unique combinations of vegetation and landscape features.

The research involves capturing and color-banding the population, delineation and mapping of individual territories, behavioral observation, and vegetation characterization of the habitat. The project serves as a good example of an application of GIS to studies of wildlife/habitat relationships. I am utilizing ESRI software, specifically ArcView GIS, as a tool to evaluate my specific ecological questions about the species. ArcView will be used to create a spatial database from aerial orthophotographs of the study site. The vegetation cover of the habitat will be analyzed and classified using the ArcView Image Analysis extension. The ArcView Spatial Analyst extension will be applied in the data analyses as a means to interpret and quantify the effects of habitat edges and small-scale fragmentation on the spatial utilization and territorial behavior of this population of birds. Data analyses will include multivariate statistical approaches to quantify inter-territory variation and correlation /regression techniques to examine relationships between territory morphology, vegetation structure, and behavior.

The goal of the research is to elucidate the specific habitat requirements of the species and the role these play in shaping territorial selection and utilization patterns, aspects of the ecology which have not been previously investigated in coastal populations. Information of this type, especially as it relates to the spatial aspects of habitat utilization, foraging behavior, and the effects of localized fragmentation, will be particularly useful in developing future species management and conservation plans.

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1.Full name:
Anne Elizabeth Dunning
2.Name of department and university:
MIT Center for Transportation Studies
3.Mailing address:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
127 Massachusetts Ave, 35-217
Cambridge, MA 02139-4800
4.Phone, fax, e-mail:
(617) 253-1820
Fax available upon request
adunning@mit.edu
5.Title of poster/paper presentation:
A Methodology for Analyzing Correlations of Spatial Attribute Clustering with Airline Routing and Passenger Willingness to Pay

6.Abstract - The abstract should not exceed 500 words and should describe a proposed, ongoing, or completed research investigation or project. The abstract should include a statement of objectives, methods employed, potential impact of the project on advancing knowledge, science, education, or resource development, and should report any findings to date.

Since U.S. airline deregulation, the competitive airline environment has created complex fare structures that mystify both passengers and airline professionals. Price discrimination is intended to target passengers according to their willingness to pay. In practical terms, business passengers generate the greatest revenue for airlines, while less expensive services extended to leisure passengers fill overcapacity.

Designing fare structures to target needs according to business and employment characteristics in origin and destination cities creates benefits for both airlines and passengers. In the increasingly competitive airline industry, creating the correct mix of fares for flights differentiates route profitability from loss, which contributes to route and frequency decisions. In the symbiotic relationship between airlines and cities, successfully served routes can generate economic development within the cities of origin and destination. Airlines are seeking new ways of accommodating major industries in point locations, and startup airlines such as Indigo Airlines in Chicago are basing their business plans on this strategy.

This research creates a methodology for analyzing travel behavior according to employment distributions by describing how spatial attributes (employment and industry characteristics) cluster at specified locations (airports or cities). Does a correlation exist between cities of origin and destination, the industries found in those cities (particularly near the airport), and types of business travel? Is airline revenue management successful at isolating business travelers in different types of markets? Who is escaping the fare restrictions?

Researchers can apply statistical methods in a spatial framework to describe and differentiate objects according to their locations. This research uses the SPlus module applying the Geary C statistic through ArcView GIS on census data and the Ten Percent Ticket Sample provided from all US airlines to the Federal Aviation Administration. Ultimately, this research should produce a methodology for attributing census data characteristics to origin and destination nodes on a transportation network.

Preliminary results using average fares from the second quarter of 1999 in a twelve city network show some possible correlation between air traffic volumes and commercial services. Continuing analysis of this question will require expanding the network and data sets, refining the neighbor analysis, using disaggregate air travel data (also available from the FAA or from airlines that have agreed to participate in the study), isolating business travelers from leisure travelers, and developing adjunct methodologies for cities with multiple airports and airports that serve multiple cities.

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James A. Hanlon
Department of Geography
University of Kentucky
1457 Patterson Office Tower
Lexington, KY 405060-0027
ph. 606.257.8237
fx. 606.323.1969
jahanl1@pop.uky.edu

Archiving the digital and digitizing the archive: a historical geographical perspective

The digital era is providing us with timely opportunities to rethink the ways in which historical and geographical information is gathered, organized, and represented. Geolibraries, virtual museums, on-line archival databases, and other forays into the realm of digitality are taking advantage of increasing telecommunication and computing speeds, expanding storage capacities, Geographic Information Systems, and the Internet to construct widely accessible digital archives for scholarly, pedagogical, and public uses. The archive is a staple of historical geographical research, and this paper brings a historical geographical perspective to the archiving of digital geographic information and to the digital representation of historical archives.

The intention of this paper is to re-orient the manner in which digital archives are thought about, and in so doing contribute to the enhancement of the design, implementation, and use of digital archives. The language that is often employed to describe digital archives tends to emphasize the ways in which they differ from traditional archives. While the technological advances that digital archives entail certainly warrant the drawing of such distinctions, I argue that relevant distinctions may also be drawn between the archiving of digital information and the digitization of archival information. To this end, I focus on three examples of digital archives: the Digital Earth Project, the Digital Imaging the Media Technology Initiative, and the Chicago Imagebase Project.

The Digital Earth Project is a multi-institution research initiative which aspires to construct a “virtual representation” of the planet. This project will allow for the visualization and exploration of an immense range of georeferenced natural and cultural information, and, as such, it is an exemplary instance of the archiving of digital information. Conversely, the University of Illinois-Chicago’s Digital Imaging and Media Technology Initiative is a digital preservation project which utilizes multimedia technologies to provide access to digital reproductions of its archival collections. Between these two endeavors stands the Chicago Imagebase Project. Also based out of the University of Illinois-Chicago, this project entails the digitization of historical and geographical media pertaining to Chicago’s built environment. But unlike the Digital Imaging the Media Technology Initiative, the Chicago Imagebase Project has begun to incorporate GIS and other Internet-based display and analysis technologies. Its georeferenced functional framework, which allows for the integration of both archival and digital information, offers the potential for a greatly enriched digital archival experience.

This paper draws from my perspectives as both a historical geographer and an interested participant in the digital era. Historical geography requires that archival materials be situated within the contexts of their own production in addition to regarding them as information sources in their own right. Attention to the variations of form and context implicit within digital archives will contribute to the understandings and practices of both historical geography and digital archivization.

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1. Sanjeev Arya
2. Department of City and Regional Planning, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio.
3. 190 W 17th Av., Columbus, OH 43210-1320
4. (614) 688-0635 (H) / arya.7@osu.edu
5. EXPLAINING BIOTIC INTEGRITY AND STREAM HABITAT ACROSS MULTIPLE SPATIAL SCALES

6. Abstract (word count: 497)
Objectives
Stream habitat is widely recognized as the template on which community structures are shaped by landscape and anthropogenic factors across various spatial scales. Earlier studies have dealt with these ecological constructs, stream biotic integrity and stream habitat quality, separately.

The two major objectives of this study are 1) to explore and quantify variables which explain the variations in the stream habitat as measured by the Qualitative Habitat Evaluation Index, or QHEI, and 2) to relate stream habitat indices and other variables to the biotic integrity of the stream as measured by the Index of Biotic Integrity, or IBI. These numeric indices, unlike conventional chemical measures of stream water quality, encapsulate the impacts from multiple stressors and measure the ecological health of a stream.

Methods
The two-stage analysis uses linear regression models. First, the variation in QHEI is modeled as a function of local-scale natural and anthropogenic factors and stresses. At the second stage, the QHEI model developed in the first stage is integrated with the model for IBI which explains the variations in biotic integrity in terms of a comprehensive, multi-scale set of variables representing landscape, land use and land cover variables.

Data
A detailed GIS database, including 1:24,000 scale roads and hypsography, 30m-resolution DEMs, streams, 30m-resolution land use classified from Landsat imagery, point sources, and tract-level census data, is compiled for the study area, comprising about 40 counties in an Ohio ecoregion. GIS is heavily used to tackle issues of collecting, storing, analyzing, and maintaining detailed region-wide database. GIS is also used to derive watershed boundaries, slopes, variable-width buffers, and reach sinuosity.

Pilot
A pilot was conducted to address the first research question - regarding stream habitat quality. Linear regression models were used to explain the variations in QHEI at the subwatershed and riparian scales in Big Darby Creek and Great Miami River basins of west-central Ohio. Forest land cover, reach sinuosity, and number of point sources in the catchment were significant in one model. This model explained 63% of the variation in site-specific QHEI. The whole model was significant at the 1% level. Two other variables, watershed-scale road density and non-riparian agricultural land use, were not significant in explaining the linkage between landscape and stream habitat. Riparian-scale agriculture, roads, and steep slopes have significantly negative relationship with QHEI in a model. Riparian-scale moderate slopes has a significant positive impact. The pilot indicates QHEI may be better explained at the reach/riparian level rather than at the watershed level. Future modifications in this model may incorporate ordinal logit and probit modeling techniques, soil series data, local sinuosity instead of average reach sinuosity, and land use dataset of higher resolution.

Conclusion
This study will 1) provide a better understanding of the spatial processes shaping our stream habitats and biotic integrity, 2) provide justification for watershed- and ecoregion-based data collection, planning and management programs 3) indicate the feasibility, merits, and limitations of using biological and habitat indicators of water quality in state monitoring, assessment, and permit regulation programs.

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1. Full name: Kosta Bidoshi, M.S., Ph.D. Candidate
2. Name of department and university: Center for Mapping at The Ohio State University
3. Mailing address: 1612 Kinnear Rd
Columbus, OH - 43212
U.S.A.
4. Phone: (614) 481-3467 Fax: (614) 292-8062 E-mail: bidoshi.1@osu.edu
5. Title of paper presentation: Multimedia Visualization for Maps of the Future

6. Abstract:
This paper describes a new look at map visualization in the context of the advances in the computer science world. In the current Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Computer-Assisted Maps user's perceptual interface with a paper map is replaced, in many cases, by analytical and logical queries of a spatial database that represents the map in computer form. The analytical results do not give a full account of the information that can be represented in the map since they do not include implicit information in the map. However, the visual display of the whole map is very important for the user to determine what kind of information is to be extracted and to understand the interrelationships between elements of the map. Current visualization techniques (paper maps and their computer replicas) do not take full advantage of the many modalities of human perception in representing such a range of spatial information.

At the Center for Mapping at the Ohio State University we are studying intelligent multimedia visualization including:

Spatial Cognition: Human understanding and perception of map visualization.

3-D Visualization in Mapping: 3-D terrain representation as a means to increase the level of perception of the real world in maps.

Sound as an Addition to the Visual Interface of a Map: Sound used to enhance the perception of real world phenomena and 3-D stereo sound used as a means for spatial representation.

Dynamic Visualization: Dynamic visualization is used to display real world phenomena (like clouds, rain and movement of the cars and rivers) and to attract the attention to the map user.

World Wide Web (WWW) Use in Map Visualization: The power of Virtual Reality Modeling Language (VRML) and applications that can be used in association with WWW make this environment very appropriate for this research.

User Interaction: In conventional mapping applications there is a separation between databases that are the foundation of a visualization system and the visualization itself (Arc/Info, Intergraph). We are studying the user interaction with spatial data in a 3-D environment.

Visualization on Demand: Two ways of dealing with this issue are investigated. Firstly, the whole map display method. This display is investigated using fly-through methods, zoom in, pan and user interaction with the features. Secondly, the map indexed method. Multimedia visualization including 3-D display, sounds and animation is indexed by traditional 2-D mapping.

Augmented Reality: Representation of the new non-existing objects in the scenery of the real world.

We are now working on a model that will be a combination of the above-mentioned techniques for visualizing spatial information. VRML is used for the implementation.

In all, then, this project aims at building an "augmented perceptual reality" for mapping environments which will allow us to not only immerse users into the mapped entities in realistic ways using somewhat conventional desktop computers, but also to incorporate human perceptual information processing characteristics into new cartographic media.

Lecture and slides will be the means of conveying the presentation.

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1. Christopher Badurek
2. Department of Geography, SUNY at Buffalo
3. 717 Elmwood Ave #1
Buffalo, NY 14222
4. 716-881-3712, badurek@acsu.buffalo.edu
5. Web-Based GIS for Sex Crime Mitigation

6. Web-based GIS offers many potential applications for use in crime analysis and prevention. An ArcView IMS based Registered Sex Offender intranet prototype is being developed in order to demonstrate the potential use of GI technologies by law enforcement agencies to visualize geospatial data on sex offenders and to help mitigate sex crimes against vulnerable populations. This prototype aims to provide the Buffalo Police Department's Sex Offense Squad with a web-based GIS in which detectives and commanding officers at Headquarters and at each Precinct would be able to perform GIS functions regarding Registered Sex Offenders. Currently, there is a public notification process underway in the City of Buffalo in which certain "Vulnerable Entities," or institutions at risk from sexual predators, are being notified of offenders in their vicinity. It would benefit a police department to have all relevant geospatial information readily available in order to respond to questions from the public and provide data to responsible organizations such as a city school board. The Intranet would be useful in that police officers would have access to all required geographic information to provide answers to inquiries as well as become more aware of potential criminal activities in each precinct and across precincts. The advantage of the web-based interface is the decentralization of the GIS software (officers could access information remotely from a registered sex offender database system) and freedom from officers taking time to learn the ArcView software (as well as the required intermediate computer skills). An evaluation of the efficacy of the graphical user interface (GUI) will be performed using novice computer users as well law enforcement personnel. The required task to be studied will be for the user to identify potential offenders in a certain precinct by creating a map using the server showing registered offenders and vulnerable entities, and providing a report of the names and addresses of the mapped offenders. In order to accomplish this task, the user must make use of an HTML-based interface in which the user will select data sources, create a map, and view a report of the offenders in the vicinity. This prototype aims to provide a model for similar web-based GIS projects for crime applications.

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1. Jessica Walker
2. Dept of Geography, University of Arizona
3. Arizona Remote Sensing Center
1955 E. 6th St.
Tucson, AZ 85719-5224
4. phone: (520) 621-8560
fax: (520) 621-3816
email: walker@u.arizona.edu
5. A GIS Model of Sonoran Pronghorn Antelope Habitat in Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument, AZ

6. Abstract:
The primary goal of this research project was to identify and evaluate the key physical, biogeographical, and spatial factors that characterize habitat occupied by the endangered Sonoran pronghorn antelope (Antilocapra americana sonoriesis) in Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument (OPCNM), Arizona. Survival of the pronghorn has recently prompted intense debate between environmentalists and various government agencies due to the alarming decline of the population, whose feeding grounds extend onto the military's live-ammunition Barry M. Goldwater Bombing Range. This particular study focused on habitat in the adjoining Monument territory. The tested hypothesis was whether an empirically selected range of natural and anthropogenic factors could spatially define the animals' preferred habitat on both a seasonal and annual basis. A database of over 500 pronghorn radio-collared sightings recorded within OPCNM territory between 1995 and 1999 formed the basis of the study. This highly-detailed, long-term database of pronghorn locations was linked to fine-scale digital coverages of vegetation and soil type, elevation, slope, aspect, distance to human disturbances, and terrain ruggedness within a Geographic Information System (GIS) environment. The variables were statistically evaluated for the strength of their relationship with the sightings, and the most highly correlated variables were used in logistic regression modeling. The regression results were then used to create probability maps of pronghorn occupation within the Monument. Although the annual model accounted for only a small amount of habitat variability (r2 (adj) = 0.12), the binary presence/absence probability map correctly predicted 73% of the test data points at a threshold of 0.5. Of particular interest were the effect of multicollinearity of the independent variables on the model results and the sensitivity of the model to different strategies for grouping categorical variable grouping strategies.

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1. Joe Weber and Mei-Po Kwan
2. Department of Geography, Ohio State University
3. 1036 Derby Hall, 154 North Oval Mall, Columbus, OH 43210
4. Phone: (614) 292-2704, Fax: (614) 292-6213,
jweber@geography.ohio-state.edu
5. Using GIS to Model and Visualize Congestion Effects on Individual Accessibility

6. Considerable attention has been devoted to the measurement of accessibility to employment, shopping, educational opportunities, health care facilities, and other services within cities. The use of Geographic Information Systems has enormous utility for such research because of its ability to not only represent the components of the urban environment, such as the home locations of individuals, employment opportunities and retail or other service locations, but also for modeling the spatial relationships among these components through the use of computationally intensive transport network analysis methods. The value of Geographic Information Systems is especially apparent with the use of disaggregate space-time accessibility measures because of their requirement for a very high degree of temporal and spatial resolution of the urban environment, and especially of the accurate representation of the movement possibilities of individuals through urban networks. While considerable attention has been directed at the representation of the urban environment it is argued here that accessibility research has not yet taken full advantage of the network analytical capabilities available within Geographic Information Systems. Instead, even when detailed representations of networks are used, potentially unrealistic measures of travel time based on assumptions about constant travel speeds through the network may be incorporated within studies. It can be argued that doing so creates limitations for accessibility measures as utilizing a single travel time for all hours of the day does not allow for the existence of daily congestion or hourly variations in traffic volumes. Applying a constant travel time to all areas of a city also does not allow for highly localized congestion within transport networks so that traffic flows and the effects of peak hour congestion are uniform throughout the entire urban area. The ability to incorporate spatially and temporally specific traffic congestion is therefore likely to offer considerable insight and detail into individual accessibility. This research seeks to show how these limitations can be overcome by measuring accessibility using space-time concepts with a detailed street network for the Portland, Oregon, metropolitan area, using spatially and temporally varying estimates of highway travel times. Further, because the measurement of accessibility is based on actual travel diary with trip data for 200 individuals, it is possible to incorporate the locations and times of day during which travel took place for each individual. The resulting accessibility values therefore reflect not only each individual's daily activity patterns and constraints, the opportunities available to them in different locations of the city, but also the uneven spatial and temporal effects of congestion. These effects can be visualized by the use of network potential path areas to show the areas and potential activity opportunities which individuals would be able to reach during their travel, both with and without congestion effects. The use of standard ArcView GIS is fundamental to this application because of its network analytical abilities and the need to incorporate the spatial relationships existing between streets, activity locations, and activity opportunities contained in multiple data sets.

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Timothy W. Owen
Department of City and Regional Planning, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
CB #3140, Howell Hall, Chapel Hill, NC 27599
(919) 942-3768, (919) 962-5206 (fax), twowen@email.unc.edu
Land Protection Planning and Scenic Quality Along the Blue Ridge Parkway in Watauga County, North Carolina

Abstract:
As development pressures continue to build along the Blue Ridge Parkway in North Carolina and Virginia, the need for systematic land protection planning becomes more acute. Given the Blue Ridge Parkway's mission emphasis on scenic quality, protection efforts in recent years have focused on the inventory and acquisition of land along the Parkway corridor (including the Parkway, National Park Service property, and privately-held lands out to one mile for the Parkway road surface). Inventories of visual sensitivity (what can be seen; based on digital viewshed modeling) and scenic quality (how scenic a view is; based on Landscape Architect field work) have been, and continue to be, conducted along the Parkway corridor.

In this research, a Corridor Land Inventory Process (CLIP) was developed by combining visual sensitivity, scenic quality, landform, and property data sets in a GIS. CLIP consists of a sequence of overlay analyses and geoprocessing functions that identify critical areas for scenic protection. CLIP was applied to the 35,000-acre Parkway corridor in Watauga County, North Carolina. In this study area, 24 properties were identified for Park Service acquisition (56 acres located along the Blue Ridge Parkway boundary and valued at $1.5 million), and an additional 31 properties were identified for land trust acquisition (766 acres valued at $2.2 million). CLIP was also used to propose an overlay district for selected areas within the Parkway corridor. This district will help local governments implement policies, such as design guidelines and structural restrictions, that are sympathetic to the aesthetic values of the nation's most visited Park Service unit. Development of GIS tools, such as CLIP, are important and timely as public interest in scenic protection along the Blue Ridge Parkway increases and limited funds are dedicated to that purpose. CLIP will likely be used by the National Park Service for further GIS-based planning in the other 28 Parkway counties.

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1. Ryan Holifield
2. Geography Department, University of Georgia
3. 145 Cole Manor Drive, Athens, GA 30606
4. Phone (706) 549-5558; Email rholifi@hotmail.com
5. A GIS Analysis of the Distribution of Environmental Hazards in Chattanooga, Tennessee: The Implications of Topographic Variability and Spatial Autocorrelation

6. Abstract: Statistical and GIS-based analyses of distributions of environmental hazards among racial and socioeconomic groups have shown that levels of unequal proximity or potential exposure vary with scale, resolution, and aggregation. This finding has confounded attempts to make broad generalizations about the geographic equity or inequity of distributions. In this ongoing research project--part of a larger exploration of environmental inequalities in the Chattanooga, Tennessee-Georgia Metropolitan Statistical Area that will include historical analysis--I investigate the proposition that measures of inequity based on proximity to hazards may in areas of rugged terrain also be sensitive at certain scales to the distortion of distance resulting from local topographic variability. First, using GIS buffer analysis with the assumption of a flat surface, I will determine the numbers of TRI and Superfund sites, the total recorded emissions of certain toxic chemicals, and the percentage of land use classified as industrial within a series of radial distances from block group centroids. I will then repeat the procedure, this time incorporating the topographic variability of the Chattanooga area by estimating surface distances using slope measurements and adjusting buffers according to those estimates. Next, I will conduct statistical analysis to measure associations at various scales between demographic attributes and proximities to EPA-regulated sites and industrial land use and to test for differences between results from two-dimensional buffer analysis and three-dimensional buffer analysis. Finally, I will test attribute data for spatial autocorrelation at a series of lags, considering the implications for future investigations of distributive environmental inequalities. The project potentially offers important methodological contributions to the growing field of GIS-based environmental inequality analysis.

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1. Full Name: Liu, Xiaohang
2. Name of Department and University: Geography, University of California at Santa Barbara
3. Mailing Address: Department of Geography, 3610 Ellison Hall, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106
4. Phone: (805) 893-8652 Fax: (805) 893-8617 E-mail: xhliu@geog.ucsb.edu
5. Title: Modeling Urban Growth as a Continuous Markov Process

6. Abstract.
Discrete-time and discrete-event are the two formalisms to model time in GIS. Though both are applicable, usually only the discrete-time approach is employed to model temporal dynamics. For example, in urban cellular automata applications, time is generally assumed to be discrete and regularly interleaved (e.g. year to year). Given the advance in temporal GIS and computer power, it is timely to reconsider other methods to model temporal processes. This paper reports a study of modeling the urban growth as a discrete-event process. Specifically, the model perceives time as a continuous flow interrupted by the arrival of newly urbanized area. A theoretical framework for the proposed model will be firstly presented, followed by numerical simulations on syntactic land use data. The paper ends with a discussion on the implications of the model for urban planning and the feasibility to integrate such a model with GIS as well as their respective roles in the integrated system.

As a preliminary research, only the urban extent is concerned in this study. In the model, urban is perceived as a system with grid cell configuration. The state of the system at any moment is determined by the land use of each cell. The system holds its current state until a new development occurs. The location of the new development is decided through a stochastic matrix. To incorporate temporal correlation as well as to allow mathematical tractability, the model further describes the urban growth as a continuous Markov process. Assuming urban is absorbing, the growth can readily be modeled as a pure birth Markov chain. In another word, new developments arrive according to a Poisson distribution.

Based on these assumptions, the model then generates a dynamic behavior. Two parameters have to be estimated for numerical simulation: the stochastic matrix and the parameter of the Poisson distribution. Acknowledging land transition is not spatially stationary, the model calculates the stochastic matrix for each single cell by counting the spatial repeatability. Cells with the same neighborhood have the same transition probability. The Poisson distribution parameter is estimated by counting the number of new developments during the interval. Though not stationary throughout the whole growth, the transition matrix and the Poisson parameter are indeed assumed to be stationary between an interval where no data is available. For example, if no field data is obtained between 1940 and 1960, the model will assume the Markov chain for each cell is stationary during this time.

Tested on synthetic land use data, the patterns emerged from this continuous process is then compared with those generated from discrete deterministic CA. The physical meanings of the transition matrix as well as the Poisson parameter are interpreted in the context of urban planning. Some implications of the result and the methodology presented are discussed. Future work to extend the model to simulate multiple land use transitions are briefly explored.

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1.. Full Name: Jong-hoon Lee
2.. Name of Department and University: Department of Information Science and Telecommunication, School of Information Science, University of Pittsburgh
3.. Mailing Address: 6004 Stanton Ave. APT. A14 Pittsburgh, PA 15206
4.. Phone: (412)-361-2657 Email: jhlee@sis.pitt.edu
5.. Title of Presentation: Spatial Decision Support System based on a Bayesian Network Model

6.. Abstract:
Spatial decision support systems must take into account uncertainty of data and models in solving real-world problems. The need to solve the problem of how uncertainty information of spatial data results in misinformed decisions has been established. Positional data uncertainty plays a major role in making decision and assessing risk when spatial decision support systems are used. We use a Bayesian network for probabilistic reasoning in a geographic information system for the purpose of assessing the risk involved in decision-making. In the Bayesian network, the cause node of the positional data uncertainty is horizontal and vertical positional uncertainties. The probability values are calculated using the confidence level and standard deviation of the horizontal and vertical differences between a random sample of line and polygon data sets and a high accuracy map. To quantify positional data uncertainty, we choose a statistical method of comparison between spatial data sets and high accuracy maps. A number of varying width buffers around a line is used in the method. For each width, the maps are overlaid and statistics are computed. By plotting the results with a Bayesian graphic tool, the usefulness of the method is demonstrated. Results of the study can be used to improve the quality of spatial decision-making and help manage the total quality control of spatial decision support systems.

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1. Name: Lu, Yongmei
2. Affiliation: Department of Geography, State University of New York at Buffalo
3. Mailing Address: 105 Wilkeson Quadrangle, Department of Geography, SUNY at Buffalo, Amherst, NY 14261
4. Phone: 716-645-2722 ext 44 (Office); 716-421-9903 (Home)
Fax: 716-645-2329
E-mail: yonglu@geog.buffalo.edu
5. Title of poster /paper presentation: Location Quotients verses Kernel Density -Measurement of Spatial Pattern of Crime Occurrence

6. Abstract
Introduction
This research is an ongoing investigation on comparison of different measurements of spatial pattern of crime occurrence. Crime occurrence is a spatial process happening on complicated environment backcloth1. Traditional spatial analysis is weak in inspecting the connectivity of occurrence and its backcloth. This research aims at introducing a new measurement to examine the relationship between point occurrence and its context in general and crime occurrence and its environmental backcloth in specific. The new measurement is also supposed to be effective in investigating spatial displacement.

Objectives
(1) Exploring a new measurement of spatial pattern that is better at accessing the relationship between point data and its spatial context.
(2) By using the new measurement on crime data, it is anticipated that the spatial process of crime (spatial displacement) can be better described.
(3) Examine the relationship between kernel density method to identify "hot spots" and the new measurement.

Methods
Generally speaking, there are three types of cluster analysis methods: Hierarchical techniques, partitioning techniques, and density techniques. It is believe that kernel density is better because density is calculated for every point on the surface; and users can visually inspect the whole surface to identify "hot spots" without defining subjectively where to cut off in the process of either aggregating or partitioning. Nonetheless, "hot spots" analysis has its own shortages in crime data analysis: (1) It considers little about the underlying spatial process; (2) It neglects population at risk. These shortages restrict "hot spots" analysis to exploratory analysis.

Location Quotient of Crime is introduced into crime data analysis as a new measurement that may help in understanding the spatial process of criminal activity as well as the connection of environmental backcloth and crime occurrence. Location Quotient was originally used in regional science to measure the relative local economy activity. Mapping the general location quotient into criminal research, crime occurrences are aggregated as an attribute of area. Linking crime incident volume with other attribute of study area, spatial displacement could show easily. Furthermore, the connection of crime occurrence and environment backcloth could be observed by investigating different attributes of study area.

Potential impact of the research
(1) LQ can be designed and used to measure spatial displacement of point occurrence.
(2) Compare to "hot spots" analysis, LQ measurement is more explanatory, because it assumes a relationship between the two attributes measured - the crime occurrence and one other attribute of study area.
(3) Kernel density measurement is a special case of LQC.

Findings and Conclusions
(1) LQ is a tool for spatial pattern analysis; LQC is very indicative in crime occurrence analysis.
(2) "Hot spots" analysis is good for investigating absolute crime occurrence while LQC is good for examining the impact of backcloth elements and spatial displacement of occurrence.
(3) LQC will be designed to measure unauthorized using of vehicle data of Buffalo. Different elements of environmental backcloth will be used for LQC measurement, and the corresponding spatial displacement as well as backcloth elements' impact will be reported.

Note:
1 Environmental backcloth was first used by Brantingham, P. L. and Brantingham, P. J. in 1993 to refer to the dynamic and interconnected surrounds of a criminal event. Many social, economic, demographic, and psychological elements make up the ever-changing but comprehensible environmental backcloth.

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1. Daniel B. Haug
2. GeoVISTA Center, Department of Geography, The Pennsylvania State University
3. 302 Walker Building
University Park PA 16802-5011
4. Phone (814)865-3472 Fax: (814)863-7943 Email: haug@geof.psu.edu
5. Software Tools for the Management, Exploration, and Analysis of Geographically Referenced Qualitative Data

6. Abstract:
The design of data structures, interfaces, and analysis tools in geographic information science and visualization has been slow to move beyond the natural science paradigm (Orford et.al 1999). The research reported in this paper is an attempt to address this issue. The overarching goal of this research is the design, implementation, and evaluation of a set of software tools for the management, exploration, and analysis of qualitative data produced using ethnographic methods. However, this paper will focus on one aspect of that project: the design of the interface.

One of the key elements in the design of a user interface is clear definition of the target users' objectives (Medyckyj-Scott 1994). GIS are not noted for their intuitive interfaces (Egenhofer et. al 1999), however it is imperative within qualitative research that the interface not become a barrier between the researcher and her data (Sugita 1987). Therefore, in order to justify my approach to designing this interface, it is necessary to briefly present an overview of the ethnographic research practices.

Ethnography is an interpretive science in search of meaning (Geertz 1973). Because these meanings are often subtle, and only can be uncovered in a "naturalistic" setting, ethnographers tend to spend extended periods of time in the field collecting data through a process known as participant observation (see Wolcott 1999). The data collected are stored in a format know as fieldnotes, consisting of narrative descriptions of observations that took place in specific places at specific times (see Sanjek 1990). However, fieldnotes often serve primarily as a reminder of the memories of observations, as it is impossible to completely record them in a database (Jackson 1995). These memories can be referred to as "headnotes" (Ottenberg 1990). The process of participant observation involves a near continuous state of analysis of data, in which fieldnotes and headnotes interact in an attempt to make sense of the meaning of specific interactions. Thus, ethnography can be framed as both spatial and exploratory in nature.

Returning to interface design, the inherently spatial nature of ethnographic research creates an opportunity to design the interface around spatial metaphors. This can be accomplished both through the representation of geographic space, and through the spacialization of information (see Fabrikant and Buttenfield 1997 and Havre et. al 1999). Furthermore, the exploratory nature of ethnographic research lends itself to approaches to interface design used in constructing exploratory data analysis software (see Springmeyer et. al 1992 or Hetzler and Miller 1998). This type of approach would advocate the linking of multiple representations of information (as in North and Schniedermen 1999) and the presentation of data within its narrative context (as in Robertson and Mackinlay 1993 and Hetzler et. al 1998). As the need for the interface to meet the users needs as been stressed earlier, it is important to note that the these interface elements will be evaluated using long-term iterative interaction with the target user, as advocated by Medyckyj-Scott (1994).

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1. Ranga Raju Vatsavai
2. Dept. of Computer Science and Eng.,
Remote Sensing and GIS Lab, Dept. of FR.
University of Minnesota.
3. 1530, N. Cleveland Ave, 115 Green Hall.
St. Paul, MN 55108.
4. Phone: 612-624-7281, Fax: 612-625-5212. E-mail: vrraju@gis.umn.edu
5. ON A ROBUST AUTOMATIC IMAGE TO IMAGE REGISTRATION

Geometric registration/rectification is the first step in integrating remote sensing images into GIS and several other studies (change detection, multi-sensor data fusion, integration with other data sets etc). In this paper we present intermediate results from an ongoing research project on automatic image to image registration.

Objective/Problem Formulation
Let Ir be the reference image, Ii be the set of images to be co-registered with Ir. Our objective is to identify a set of control points (features, often termed as ground control points) in Ir and the corresponding locations in Ii (often called as conjugate points), using a matching function M, and a transformation t that minimizes the distance (or error criteria) between t(Ir) and Ii.

Algorithm
Our algorithm is based on the extraction of a well distributed low level features (modified Forstner operator), in the reference (Ir) image and area based matching to find corresponding (conjugate) points in the images (Ii) to be rectified. Brief description of major modules is given below.

1.Feature Selection: Basic requirement for image registration is a relatively small but well distributed set of control points (10 to 50). After studying several low level feature extraction techniques, we have implemented a modified Foerstner operator which selects fairly good amount of low level features suitable for template matching. Number of features selected can be controlled by two thresholds, one that accounts for variance and the other accounts for suppressing local non maxima in a neighborhood. To achieve well distributedness of control points, we have first stratified the image into small blocks. Our algorithm adaptively adjusts the thresholds, so that it selects the user defined minimum number of features in each stratified unit.

2.Image Matching: Image matching is an ill-posed problem. A great amount of matching techniques and measures have been proposed/developed in CV/DP field. Our matching is based on the normalized cross-correlation (Cn) measure. Cross-correlation will have its peak at template match position (proof by RosenFeld and Kak - 82), and can be efficiently implemented as Fourier Transform (Correlation Theorem). So it suits in the production mode, as the tested and optimized FFT libraries are readily available. We have implemented a two-way matching technique with additional checks, which selects high quality conjugate points. We find that a backward template match greately eliminates mismatches.

3.Transformation: Rectification is performed by using high-order polynomial equations, whose coefficients are computed using the control points selected in the above step.

Findings and Future Directions
The algorithm presented here will always leads to the selection of a well distributed minimum set of control points which is essential for a high accuracy image registration. Initial results are quite promising as the overall residual error less than a pixel. Our future work will focus on rigorous testing on a wide variety of images, and utilization of additional matching techniques which will work with large geometric distortions. This automated approach will eliminate manual collection of GCPs which is often time consuming, facilitate quick processing and integration of next generation high resolution satellite images into a GIS.


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1. Name: Weili Wu
2. Dept and University: Department of Computer Science, University of Minnesota.
3. Mailing Address:
Ms Weili Wu
Dept of Computer Science
200 Union Street S.E.
Minneapolis, MN 55125
4. Phone: (612) 626-7703 (Office)
(651) 738-7224 (Home)
Fax: (612) 625-0572 (Attn: Weili Wu)
e-mail: wuw@cs.umn.edu
5. Title of paper presentation:
Spatial Data Mining for Location Prediction

6. Abstract
Objectives: The goal of geo-spatial data mining is to discover interesting and useful but implicit geo-spatial patterns. The objective of this project is to define and explore efficient techniques for location prediction, which is a specific probelm of spatial data mining.

Methods: The current approach towards solving spatial data mining problems is to use classical data mining tools after ``materializing'' spatial relationships. However, many classical data mining techniques including regression assume that the learning samples are drawn from identical and independent distributions(i.i.ds).This assumption is not true for spatial attributes, e.g. residence location. The property of samples affecting other sample values in the neighborhood is called spatial autocorrelation. In addition, classical data mining maximizes classification accuracy even though spatial accuracy may be more important for location prediction. Spatial statistics, a branch of classical statistics, has explored new parametric model, e.g. spatial autocorrelation based regression(SAR), to account for spatial autocorrelation. These models improve both the classification and spatial accuracy. We employed SAR model to carry out experiments using real-world spatial dataset (e.g. red-winged blackbird habitats in Darr and Stubble marshes). We also propose PLUMS, an efficient new technique for geo-spatial data mining driven by ``map-similarity'' measures which is a linear combination of classification and spatial accuracy measures.

Impact: Geo-spatial data mining is crucial to organizations which own, generate and manage large geo-spatial data sets. For example, public health organizations are interested in geo-spatial patterns in the spread of infectious diseases. Private companies are interested in geo-spatial patterns in consumer spending for marketing as well as logistical reasons. A special kind of geo-spatial data mining problem is Location Prediction. Public safety organizations are interested in location prediction of crimes to plan police patrols. Ecological and environmental organizations may be interested in location prediction for protecting bio-diversity.

Preliminary Results: We have carried out experiments to compare the classical regression, spatial autoregressive regression(SAR) models and PLUMS(A), an instance of the PLUMS framework. Our preliminary work with classical data mining methods and spatial statistical methods shows the need for new spatial data mining techniques. Classical regression methods are based on the independent identically distribution assumption and classification accuracy measures. They do not capture spatial auto-correlation properties or spatial accuracy goals of location prediction problems. Spatial statistical methods are based on spatial autocorrelation, but are suited for small spatial datasets with small contiguity matrices, which are much larger than the original spatial datasets. We have preliminary results on appropriateness of PLUMS, a map similarity driven spatial data mining techniques for location prediction problems. Our experiments with location prediction on a real-world spatial dataset indicate that PLUMS is likely to outperform existing spatial data mining methods in terms of spatial accuracy for location prediction using orders of magnitude less computational resources.




Last updated on May 5, 2000